new_results_tis
Laura Menicacci
2024-03-26
Models comparison
- Technology classes: climate change mitigation technologies, energy, solar, wind
- Y: Levels, Logs+1, IHS, Max normalization by technology
- Controls: gdp, pop
- Auto-regressive term = 1
- IIS=ON
- TREND BREAK (TIS) =ON
- p-val = 0.001, 0.01
- Sample: top 25 patenting countries (by mean)
- Time series: 2000-2019
Ccmt
Count Ccmt
0.001
Formula: count_ccmt~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 16:59:46 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.9638e-01 1.7599e-02 50.9349 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp -3.7257e-13 1.7139e-13 -2.1738 0.0302873 *
pop 4.6120e-07 2.2210e-07 2.0765 0.0384648 *
idAUT 1.5478e+01 2.8518e+01 0.5427 0.5875971
idBEL -2.0171e+00 2.8479e+01 -0.0708 0.9435697
idBRA -9.5280e+01 4.7941e+01 -1.9875 0.0475337 *
idCAN 3.7452e+01 2.8921e+01 1.2950 0.1960537
idCHE 9.8575e+00 2.8525e+01 0.3456 0.7298413
idCHN -3.6799e+02 2.8975e+02 -1.2700 0.2047887
idDEU 3.5184e+02 5.8586e+01 6.0056 4.190e-09 ***
idDNK 2.5891e+01 2.8612e+01 0.9049 0.3660414
idESP -8.8646e+00 2.8820e+01 -0.3076 0.7585534
idFIN 3.0429e+00 2.8602e+01 0.1064 0.9153264
idFRA 1.0808e+02 3.3161e+01 3.2594 0.0012091 **
idGBR 6.1948e+01 3.1284e+01 1.9802 0.0483486 *
idIND -5.0615e+02 2.6894e+02 -1.8820 0.0605385 .
idISR 2.0433e+00 2.8540e+01 0.0716 0.9429602
idITA 1.3042e+01 2.9686e+01 0.4393 0.6606484
idJPN 8.8858e+02 1.0670e+02 8.3278 1.231e-15 ***
idKOR 7.0000e+02 1.9186e+02 3.6486 0.0002975 ***
idNLD 2.0566e+01 2.8462e+01 0.7226 0.4703598
idNOR -5.4749e+00 2.8708e+01 -0.1907 0.8488448
idRUS -4.2472e+01 3.9798e+01 -1.0672 0.2865102
idSGP -8.1895e+00 2.8698e+01 -0.2854 0.7755060
idSWE 1.6659e+01 2.8508e+01 0.5844 0.5593007
idTWN 6.6869e+01 2.9161e+01 2.2931 0.0223441 *
idUSA 4.5641e+02 9.3752e+01 4.8683 1.607e-06 ***
time2001 -2.5183e+01 2.6613e+01 -0.9463 0.3445547
time2002 -3.7595e+01 2.6592e+01 -1.4138 0.1581844
time2003 -1.3965e+01 2.6602e+01 -0.5249 0.5999017
time2004 1.4452e+01 2.6610e+01 0.5431 0.5873385
time2005 1.7916e+01 2.6613e+01 0.6732 0.5011917
time2006 3.1372e+01 2.6672e+01 1.1762 0.2401963
time2007 5.9570e+01 2.6809e+01 2.2221 0.0268220 *
time2008 5.5785e+01 2.6954e+01 2.0697 0.0391069 *
time2009 5.8501e+01 2.7516e+01 2.1261 0.0340915 *
time2010 8.5008e+01 2.7529e+01 3.0880 0.0021517 **
time2011 4.2534e+01 2.7858e+01 1.5268 0.1275715
time2012 1.9718e+01 2.8360e+01 0.6953 0.4872779
time2013 -2.6266e+01 2.8162e+01 -0.9327 0.3515361
time2014 2.2568e+00 2.8042e+01 0.0805 0.9358969
time2015 -3.7150e+01 2.7644e+01 -1.3439 0.1797347
time2016 3.4326e+01 2.7647e+01 1.2416 0.2150996
time2017 1.4070e+01 2.7724e+01 0.5075 0.6120664
time2018 2.8653e+01 2.7848e+01 1.0289 0.3041222
time2019 -3.2775e+01 2.8157e+01 -1.1640 0.2451019
iis130 4.1042e+02 1.0574e+02 3.8816 0.0001208 ***
iis132 -4.8910e+02 1.4465e+02 -3.3812 0.0007907 ***
iis133 -8.7347e+02 1.6908e+02 -5.1661 3.731e-07 ***
iis313 9.5878e+02 1.1258e+02 8.5162 3.123e-16 ***
iis314 2.1449e+03 1.0594e+02 20.2474 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 1.2658e+03 1.0086e+02 12.5494 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -1.6075e+03 1.0803e+02 -14.8797 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 3.7003e+02 1.0662e+02 3.4706 0.0005740 ***
iis468 4.0581e+02 1.0183e+02 3.9852 7.975e-05 ***
iis470 -1.0540e+03 1.0202e+02 -10.3311 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -6.5398e+02 9.4263e+01 -6.9378 1.551e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2009 4.5434e+02 9.1793e+01 4.9496 1.086e-06 ***
tisCHN.2015 3.1753e+02 3.3775e+01 9.4013 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2008 8.0914e+01 1.0762e+01 7.5183 3.499e-13 ***
tisUSA.2005 1.8867e+02 2.5945e+01 7.2721 1.796e-12 ***
tisUSA.2008 -1.7236e+02 3.6171e+01 -4.7651 2.620e-06 ***
tisUSA.2014 -2.0494e+02 3.1928e+01 -6.4187 3.787e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.9107 1 0.1669
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 61.5387 1 4.33e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 87.38886
R-squared 0.99826
Log-lik.(n=475) -2765.92051 0.01
Formula: count_ccmt~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 16:59:46 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.5178e-01 1.8437e-02 46.2000 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.9564e-13 2.0630e-13 2.8873 0.0040966 **
pop 3.7926e-06 6.3107e-07 6.0098 4.184e-09 ***
idAUT 6.3567e+01 2.3551e+01 2.6991 0.0072481 **
idBEL 3.3447e+01 2.2792e+01 1.4675 0.1430286
idBRA -6.8295e+02 1.1305e+02 -6.0411 3.504e-09 ***
idCAN 1.0216e+01 2.2944e+01 0.4453 0.6563786
idCHE 5.8449e+01 2.3603e+01 2.4763 0.0136880 *
idCHN -4.7054e+03 8.1642e+02 -5.7635 1.648e-08 ***
idDEU 7.7237e+01 5.2487e+01 1.4715 0.1419291
idDNK 8.3367e+01 2.4406e+01 3.4159 0.0007009 ***
idESP -8.5973e+01 2.6298e+01 -3.2692 0.0011717 **
idFIN 5.7614e+01 2.4059e+01 2.3947 0.0170911 *
idFRA 1.9684e+00 3.2876e+01 0.0599 0.9522866
idGBR -4.9215e+01 3.1861e+01 -1.5447 0.1232187
idIND -4.0561e+03 6.7481e+02 -6.0107 4.162e-09 ***
idISR 4.8577e+01 2.3502e+01 2.0669 0.0393869 *
idITA -1.0222e+02 3.1066e+01 -3.2902 0.0010898 **
idJPN 2.3848e+02 1.1874e+02 2.0084 0.0452728 *
idKOR -4.5154e+02 2.3214e+02 -1.9452 0.0524564 .
idNLD 4.5001e+01 2.2344e+01 2.0140 0.0446802 *
idNOR 4.4727e+01 2.4013e+01 1.8626 0.0632549 .
idRUS -5.2543e+02 8.3189e+01 -6.3161 7.146e-10 ***
idSGP 4.3813e+01 2.3976e+01 1.8273 0.0683937 .
idSWE 5.8456e+01 2.3335e+01 2.5051 0.0126377 *
idTWN 8.1209e+01 2.2869e+01 3.5511 0.0004294 ***
idUSA -3.4730e+02 1.5921e+02 -2.1814 0.0297367 *
time2001 -7.0247e+01 2.3330e+01 -3.0111 0.0027685 **
time2002 -8.6283e+01 2.3398e+01 -3.6876 0.0002576 ***
time2003 -7.4772e+01 2.3584e+01 -3.1705 0.0016390 **
time2004 -4.1569e+01 2.3619e+01 -1.7599 0.0791821 .
time2005 -4.7067e+01 2.3669e+01 -1.9886 0.0474294 *
time2006 -4.3223e+01 2.3850e+01 -1.8123 0.0706910 .
time2007 -2.7008e+01 2.3992e+01 -1.1257 0.2609570
time2008 -2.4320e+01 2.4165e+01 -1.0064 0.3148360
time2009 -1.5003e+01 2.4332e+01 -0.6166 0.5378371
time2010 3.3578e+00 2.4355e+01 0.1379 0.8904108
time2011 -3.9549e+01 2.4462e+01 -1.6167 0.1067234
time2012 -3.8967e+01 2.4744e+01 -1.5748 0.1160825
time2013 -9.1990e+01 2.4780e+01 -3.7123 0.0002345 ***
time2014 -6.5982e+01 2.5001e+01 -2.6391 0.0086370 **
time2015 -8.0677e+01 2.4910e+01 -3.2387 0.0013008 **
time2016 -4.1677e+01 2.4715e+01 -1.6863 0.0925157 .
time2017 -3.0278e+01 2.4853e+01 -1.2183 0.2238417
time2018 -4.5795e+01 2.4924e+01 -1.8374 0.0668965 .
time2019 -1.0213e+02 2.5070e+01 -4.0738 5.578e-05 ***
iis130 3.9116e+02 8.1765e+01 4.7839 2.422e-06 ***
iis132 -3.3944e+02 1.1272e+02 -3.0115 0.0027646 **
iis133 -6.5033e+02 1.3328e+02 -4.8796 1.538e-06 ***
iis307 2.2622e+02 7.4788e+01 3.0248 0.0026486 **
iis313 9.0890e+02 8.8793e+01 10.2361 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 2.1137e+03 8.2633e+01 25.5792 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 1.3199e+03 7.8039e+01 16.9131 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -1.6097e+03 8.3306e+01 -19.3224 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 2.2508e+02 8.5686e+01 2.6268 0.0089514 **
iis338 -5.2361e+02 7.3797e+01 -7.0954 5.906e-12 ***
iis340 -4.6338e+02 7.6689e+01 -6.0423 3.480e-09 ***
iis463 3.4302e+02 7.5673e+01 4.5329 7.696e-06 ***
iis468 3.4626e+02 8.0061e+01 4.3250 1.929e-05 ***
iis470 -6.3749e+02 9.0957e+01 -7.0087 1.028e-11 ***
iis473 -5.5351e+02 8.6675e+01 -6.3861 4.729e-10 ***
iis474 -6.4335e+02 9.3561e+01 -6.8763 2.373e-11 ***
iis475 -1.0418e+03 1.0398e+02 -10.0191 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 2.7963e+02 6.0801e+01 4.5991 5.703e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -5.0220e+02 7.1209e+01 -7.0525 7.772e-12 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -5.2145e+02 7.6765e+01 -6.7928 3.998e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2009 5.0237e+02 7.2493e+01 6.9299 1.694e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2005 2.7017e+02 6.4845e+01 4.1664 3.794e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2014 -7.3629e+02 9.1498e+01 -8.0470 9.760e-15 ***
tisCHN.2015 2.4409e+02 2.8965e+01 8.4273 6.452e-16 ***
tisDEU.2004 2.8676e+01 8.8472e+00 3.2413 0.0012896 **
tisIND.2002 -6.4461e+01 1.0873e+01 -5.9285 6.610e-09 ***
tisJPN.2008 8.1329e+01 8.4362e+00 9.6405 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -4.6799e+01 1.2168e+01 -3.8460 0.0001397 ***
tisUSA.2005 7.2175e+01 1.3915e+01 5.1868 3.407e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.32731 1 0.5672
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 22.09865 1 2.59e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 67.2127
R-squared 0.9990
Log-lik.(n=475) -2635.2303 Log Count Ccmt
0.001
Formula: log_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:01:24 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.718077 0.025835 27.7951 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.409331 0.072617 5.6369 3.169e-08 ***
lpop -0.743272 0.202717 -3.6666 0.0002771 ***
idAUT -0.012302 0.179994 -0.0683 0.9455411
idBEL -0.053449 0.135497 -0.3945 0.6934358
idBRA 0.917035 0.416635 2.2011 0.0282719 *
idCAN 0.535175 0.098661 5.4244 9.803e-08 ***
idCHE -0.358951 0.191459 -1.8748 0.0615066 .
idCHN 2.316568 0.759185 3.0514 0.0024213 **
idDEU 1.506129 0.272321 5.5307 5.595e-08 ***
idDNK -1.036718 0.287469 -3.6064 0.0003476 ***
idESP 0.450610 0.166015 2.7143 0.0069139 **
idFIN -0.287530 0.257527 -1.1165 0.2648396
idFRA 1.160508 0.225129 5.1548 3.905e-07 ***
idGBR 1.110789 0.221969 5.0043 8.241e-07 ***
idIND 1.481797 0.733508 2.0202 0.0439976 *
idISR -0.667285 0.206059 -3.2383 0.0012971 **
idITA 0.901597 0.205857 4.3797 1.500e-05 ***
idJPN -0.073888 0.376270 -0.1964 0.8444146
idKOR -1.398614 0.405804 -3.4465 0.0006247 ***
idNLD 0.286019 0.078554 3.6411 0.0003051 ***
idNOR -1.626405 0.338017 -4.8116 2.086e-06 ***
idRUS -0.410550 0.363420 -1.1297 0.2592491
idSGP -1.098976 0.305093 -3.6021 0.0003532 ***
idSWE -0.929008 0.210012 -4.4236 1.236e-05 ***
idTWN 0.588273 0.070643 8.3274 1.159e-15 ***
idUSA 1.966482 0.494441 3.9772 8.202e-05 ***
time2001 2.440510 3.063017 0.7968 0.4260336
time2002 2.408782 3.064072 0.7861 0.4322270
time2003 2.494303 3.064096 0.8140 0.4160789
time2004 2.519767 3.065023 0.8221 0.4114809
time2005 2.550127 3.065959 0.8318 0.4060165
time2006 2.568994 3.067191 0.8376 0.4027440
time2007 2.616569 3.068404 0.8527 0.3942828
time2008 2.627291 3.069889 0.8558 0.3925786
time2009 2.682106 3.070597 0.8735 0.3828969
time2010 2.705238 3.071877 0.8806 0.3790092
time2011 2.691415 3.072926 0.8758 0.3816100
time2012 2.634444 3.074110 0.8570 0.3919424
time2013 2.553528 3.075544 0.8303 0.4068552
time2014 2.591290 3.077282 0.8421 0.4002241
time2015 2.565838 3.078750 0.8334 0.4050882
time2016 2.633398 3.080324 0.8549 0.3930852
time2017 2.618924 3.081529 0.8499 0.3958737
time2018 2.625511 3.082708 0.8517 0.3948683
time2019 2.529728 3.083774 0.8203 0.4124872
iis63 0.732754 0.120632 6.0743 2.777e-09 ***
iis159 0.439950 0.121063 3.6341 0.0003133 ***
iis407 0.436211 0.121170 3.6000 0.0003559 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.328237 0.091317 3.5945 0.0003633 ***
tisESP.2003 0.132250 0.033242 3.9784 8.160e-05 ***
tisESP.2006 -0.149033 0.037304 -3.9950 7.628e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 5.3554 1 0.02066 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 24.2439 1 8.487e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.11502
R-squared 0.99405
Log-lik.(n=475) 379.28324 0.01
Formula: log_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:01:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6731989 0.0240900 27.9451 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.3806455 0.0691480 5.5048 6.546e-08 ***
lpop -0.5022617 0.1904746 -2.6369 0.0086864 **
idAUT 0.0037666 0.1622407 0.0232 0.9814890
idBEL -0.1190657 0.1230942 -0.9673 0.3339806
idBRA 0.2175135 0.4077077 0.5335 0.5939757
idCAN 0.2980697 0.1074324 2.7745 0.0057829 **
idCHE -0.3132007 0.1733703 -1.8065 0.0715704 .
idCHN 1.2472614 0.7256272 1.7189 0.0863959 .
idDEU 1.1504973 0.2626579 4.3802 1.509e-05 ***
idDNK -1.0486038 0.2703462 -3.8787 0.0001224 ***
idESP 0.0615389 0.1673905 0.3676 0.7133348
idFIN -0.1961573 0.2332222 -0.8411 0.4007988
idFRA 0.8028583 0.2211412 3.6305 0.0003188 ***
idGBR 0.7433334 0.2186433 3.3998 0.0007409 ***
idIND 0.4718153 0.7024980 0.6716 0.5022025
idISR -0.6342859 0.1863287 -3.4041 0.0007295 ***
idITA 0.5173854 0.2056930 2.5153 0.0122754 *
idJPN -0.3489860 0.3703779 -0.9422 0.3466258
idKOR -1.4703847 0.3994439 -3.6811 0.0002634 ***
idNLD 0.1724134 0.0762145 2.2622 0.0242095 *
idNOR -1.4687989 0.3118080 -4.7106 3.392e-06 ***
idRUS -0.9610722 0.3585244 -2.6806 0.0076461 **
idSGP -1.0364423 0.2758973 -3.7566 0.0001973 ***
idSWE -0.8684145 0.1963548 -4.4227 1.252e-05 ***
idTWN 0.4248141 0.0760500 5.5860 4.252e-08 ***
idUSA 1.3728303 0.4713430 2.9126 0.0037813 **
time2001 -0.4252125 2.8646709 -0.1484 0.8820742
time2002 -0.4551537 2.8652083 -0.1589 0.8738614
time2003 -0.3815373 2.8666458 -0.1331 0.8941836
time2004 -0.3679132 2.8662229 -0.1284 0.8979260
time2005 -0.3410920 2.8655538 -0.1190 0.9053088
time2006 -0.2796275 2.8669982 -0.0975 0.9223509
time2007 -0.2515474 2.8685010 -0.0877 0.9301637
time2008 -0.2306643 2.8694611 -0.0804 0.9359697
time2009 -0.1489511 2.8700433 -0.0519 0.9586349
time2010 -0.1368247 2.8711767 -0.0477 0.9620149
time2011 -0.1465698 2.8720934 -0.0510 0.9593247
time2012 -0.2018514 2.8731577 -0.0703 0.9440258
time2013 -0.2844938 2.8745229 -0.0990 0.9212101
time2014 -0.2518303 2.8762461 -0.0876 0.9302732
time2015 -0.2741769 2.8779689 -0.0953 0.9241491
time2016 -0.2249747 2.8792750 -0.0781 0.9377583
time2017 -0.2384443 2.8803990 -0.0828 0.9340657
time2018 -0.2318291 2.8815111 -0.0805 0.9359156
time2019 -0.3274298 2.8825094 -0.1136 0.9096172
iis59 -0.3971607 0.1030435 -3.8543 0.0001348 ***
iis63 0.6698595 0.1026304 6.5269 1.996e-10 ***
iis66 -0.3806953 0.1025993 -3.7105 0.0002355 ***
iis248 -0.4339955 0.1044962 -4.1532 3.995e-05 ***
iis269 -0.3725554 0.1040524 -3.5805 0.0003843 ***
iis270 0.3516406 0.1037176 3.3904 0.0007660 ***
iis273 0.3610047 0.1028986 3.5084 0.0005011 ***
iis385 0.3768156 0.1028161 3.6649 0.0002800 ***
iis395 -0.3823963 0.1026659 -3.7247 0.0002231 ***
iis402 0.2914043 0.1071240 2.7203 0.0068021 **
iis407 0.4468430 0.1030393 4.3366 1.825e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2208465 0.0595617 -3.7079 0.0002379 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.2480379 0.0627515 3.9527 9.107e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.4188202 0.1115065 3.7560 0.0001978 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.4771838 0.1411020 -3.3818 0.0007895 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.8728536 0.1723947 5.0631 6.256e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.3302574 0.0791592 4.1721 3.691e-05 ***
tisDNK.2007 -0.2072112 0.0557598 -3.7161 0.0002305 ***
tisDNK.2010 0.2137858 0.0609049 3.5102 0.0004978 ***
tisESP.2003 0.1395220 0.0283903 4.9144 1.292e-06 ***
tisESP.2006 -0.1559717 0.0318191 -4.9018 1.373e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.2035 1 0.0127501 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.4281 1 0.0004229 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.09743
R-squared 0.99588
Log-lik.(n=475) 465.60979 Ihs Count Ccmt
0.001
Formula: ihs_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:04:35 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6996319 0.0263091 26.5928 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.4527092 0.0728223 6.2166 1.224e-09 ***
lpop -0.4805337 0.2286098 -2.1020 0.0361484 *
idAUT 0.1234986 0.2016466 0.6125 0.5405704
idBEL -0.0035627 0.1518880 -0.0235 0.9812975
idBRA 0.0896200 0.4959521 0.1807 0.8566877
idCAN 0.2443833 0.1294258 1.8882 0.0596848 .
idCHE -0.2338045 0.2148072 -1.0884 0.2770241
idCHN 0.9340819 0.8953961 1.0432 0.2974519
idDEU 0.9983826 0.3194903 3.1249 0.0019016 **
idDNK -0.8685171 0.3152016 -2.7554 0.0061159 **
idESP 0.1044660 0.1971030 0.5300 0.5963866
idFIN -0.0226207 0.2915591 -0.0776 0.9381947
idFRA 0.7070224 0.2675588 2.6425 0.0085366 **
idGBR 0.6673202 0.2631471 2.5359 0.0115758 *
idIND 0.0657069 0.8724069 0.0753 0.9399984
idISR -0.5622281 0.2292073 -2.4529 0.0145747 *
idITA 0.4633298 0.2473662 1.8731 0.0617539 .
idJPN -0.9079340 0.4448935 -2.0408 0.0418950 *
idKOR -2.0486820 0.4337843 -4.7228 3.174e-06 ***
idNLD 0.2184094 0.0889210 2.4562 0.0144436 *
idNOR -1.4668169 0.3667525 -3.9995 7.498e-05 ***
idRUS -1.2744448 0.4422012 -2.8820 0.0041532 **
idSGP -0.6444300 0.3336477 -1.9315 0.0540961 .
idSWE -0.9292742 0.2251243 -4.1278 4.417e-05 ***
idTWN 0.4271181 0.0859963 4.9667 9.917e-07 ***
idUSA 1.0469591 0.5846554 1.7907 0.0740552 .
time2001 -2.7346391 3.5811375 -0.7636 0.4455196
time2002 -2.7688284 3.5823931 -0.7729 0.4400158
time2003 -2.6872198 3.5837133 -0.7498 0.4537685
time2004 -2.6437321 3.5845654 -0.7375 0.4612097
time2005 -2.6041360 3.5849410 -0.7264 0.4679913
time2006 -2.5863840 3.5864327 -0.7212 0.4712127
time2007 -2.5391518 3.5878802 -0.7077 0.4795216
time2008 -2.5294875 3.5886187 -0.7049 0.4812847
time2009 -2.4913551 3.5896683 -0.6940 0.4880431
time2010 -2.4548492 3.5906173 -0.6837 0.4945506
time2011 -2.4695748 3.5918609 -0.6875 0.4921164
time2012 -2.5282032 3.5932667 -0.7036 0.4820742
time2013 -2.6121785 3.5949379 -0.7266 0.4678584
time2014 -2.5787884 3.5969359 -0.7169 0.4738085
time2015 -2.6075226 3.5986398 -0.7246 0.4691088
time2016 -2.5431106 3.6004589 -0.7063 0.4803739
time2017 -2.5598500 3.6018624 -0.7107 0.4776626
time2018 -2.5553894 3.6032325 -0.7092 0.4785969
time2019 -2.6535508 3.6044757 -0.7362 0.4620298
iis63 0.7400591 0.1203208 6.1507 1.795e-09 ***
iis159 0.4245574 0.1207714 3.5154 0.0004868 ***
iis402 0.4798328 0.1272528 3.7707 0.0001861 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2374838 0.0700781 -3.3888 0.0007680 ***
fesisSGP.2008 0.4434468 0.0983488 4.5089 8.459e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2010 -0.3729991 0.0919061 -4.0585 5.889e-05 ***
tisESP.2003 0.1225573 0.0332358 3.6875 0.0002561 ***
tisESP.2006 -0.1378808 0.0372873 -3.6978 0.0002463 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.8298 1 0.02797 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 29.9509 1 4.431e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.11470
R-squared 0.99416
Log-lik.(n=475) 381.60486 0.01
Formula: ihs_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:04:34 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.6707282 0.0240351 27.9061 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.3849629 0.0694972 5.5393 5.454e-08 ***
lpop -0.5055142 0.1915484 -2.6391 0.0086312 **
idAUT 0.0062193 0.1635179 0.0380 0.9696789
idBEL -0.1188920 0.1240238 -0.9586 0.3383168
idBRA 0.2133209 0.4105934 0.5195 0.6036638
idCAN 0.3002757 0.1080348 2.7794 0.0056972 **
idCHE -0.3141255 0.1745433 -1.7997 0.0726468 .
idCHN 1.2493944 0.7305091 1.7103 0.0879694 .
idDEU 1.1585749 0.2638387 4.3912 1.438e-05 ***
idDNK -1.0576614 0.2717119 -3.8926 0.0001158 ***
idESP 0.0585305 0.1684698 0.3474 0.7284517
idFIN -0.1949831 0.2349653 -0.8298 0.4071158
idFRA 0.8085139 0.2222581 3.6377 0.0003103 ***
idGBR 0.7487732 0.2197617 3.4072 0.0007215 ***
idIND 0.4669308 0.7076655 0.6598 0.5097426
idISR -0.6388820 0.1873843 -3.4095 0.0007157 ***
idITA 0.5208035 0.2068644 2.5176 0.0121975 *
idJPN -0.3598139 0.3735356 -0.9633 0.3359850
idKOR -1.4914680 0.4023134 -3.7072 0.0002385 ***
idNLD 0.1751628 0.0767691 2.2817 0.0230224 *
idNOR -1.4831904 0.3132013 -4.7356 3.019e-06 ***
idRUS -0.9772850 0.3616822 -2.7021 0.0071787 **
idSGP -1.0678408 0.2777170 -3.8451 0.0001398 ***
idSWE -0.8761254 0.1972437 -4.4418 1.150e-05 ***
idTWN 0.4288138 0.0764005 5.6127 3.685e-08 ***
idUSA 1.3793011 0.4741165 2.9092 0.0038217 **
time2001 -0.2517840 2.8849459 -0.0873 0.9304957
time2002 -0.2821252 2.8854802 -0.0978 0.9221597
time2003 -0.2074941 2.8869346 -0.0719 0.9427378
time2004 -0.1940278 2.8865054 -0.0672 0.9464403
time2005 -0.1668966 2.8858259 -0.0578 0.9539098
time2006 -0.1050288 2.8872793 -0.0364 0.9710000
time2007 -0.0764580 2.8887922 -0.0265 0.9788977
time2008 -0.0552439 2.8897589 -0.0191 0.9847570
time2009 0.0271650 2.8903481 0.0094 0.9925058
time2010 0.0394137 2.8914901 0.0136 0.9891311
time2011 0.0299123 2.8924147 0.0103 0.9917538
time2012 -0.0255712 2.8934877 -0.0088 0.9929531
time2013 -0.1085313 2.8948642 -0.0375 0.9701119
time2014 -0.0760179 2.8966010 -0.0262 0.9790757
time2015 -0.0985347 2.8983370 -0.0340 0.9728962
time2016 -0.0491805 2.8996535 -0.0170 0.9864762
time2017 -0.0627521 2.9007860 -0.0216 0.9827514
time2018 -0.0560393 2.9019071 -0.0193 0.9846023
time2019 -0.1521371 2.9029131 -0.0524 0.9582289
iis59 -0.4261592 0.1038091 -4.1052 4.881e-05 ***
iis63 0.6818732 0.1033424 6.5982 1.295e-10 ***
iis66 -0.3863694 0.1033174 -3.7396 0.0002106 ***
iis248 -0.4432755 0.1052229 -4.2127 3.108e-05 ***
iis269 -0.3791661 0.1047756 -3.6188 0.0003331 ***
iis270 0.3553192 0.1044348 3.4023 0.0007342 ***
iis273 0.3634532 0.1036122 3.5078 0.0005020 ***
iis385 0.3812172 0.1035298 3.6822 0.0002623 ***
iis395 -0.3856445 0.1033759 -3.7305 0.0002182 ***
iis402 0.3057819 0.1079754 2.8320 0.0048555 **
iis407 0.4536146 0.1037566 4.3719 1.565e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.2230060 0.0599963 -3.7170 0.0002297 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.2489032 0.0631637 3.9406 9.561e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2005 0.4223645 0.1122799 3.7617 0.0001935 ***
fesisDNK.2006 -0.4798828 0.1420800 -3.3776 0.0008016 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.8761387 0.1735876 5.0472 6.765e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.3559116 0.0797362 4.4636 1.044e-05 ***
tisDNK.2007 -0.2074791 0.0561421 -3.6956 0.0002493 ***
tisDNK.2010 0.2140446 0.0613223 3.4905 0.0005347 ***
tisESP.2003 0.1415779 0.0285835 4.9531 1.071e-06 ***
tisESP.2006 -0.1581208 0.0320363 -4.9357 1.166e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 6.0912 1 0.0135856 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.5333 1 0.0003998 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.09810
R-squared 0.99586
Log-lik.(n=475) 462.32960 Max Count Ccmt
0.001
Formula: max_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:06:27 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.88429229 0.01814331 48.7393 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.01890726 0.00530712 3.5626 0.0004102 ***
lpop -0.03929084 0.01835563 -2.1405 0.0328996 *
idAUT -0.00662780 0.01487467 -0.4456 0.6561381
idBEL -0.00163862 0.01107229 -0.1480 0.8824211
idBRA 0.06861052 0.03782836 1.8137 0.0704481 .
idCAN 0.01970459 0.00842372 2.3392 0.0198044 *
idCHE -0.02175640 0.01680329 -1.2948 0.1961266
idCHN 0.12712278 0.06805804 1.8679 0.0624933 .
idDEU 0.08527371 0.02553005 3.3401 0.0009139 ***
idDNK -0.05583245 0.02598933 -2.1483 0.0322750 *
idESP 0.03638380 0.01487830 2.4454 0.0148868 *
idFIN -0.01742974 0.02191890 -0.7952 0.4269607
idFRA 0.05210339 0.01999861 2.6053 0.0095112 **
idGBR 0.04854408 0.01963646 2.4721 0.0138347 *
idIND 0.08643633 0.06452310 1.3396 0.1811097
idISR -0.03285236 0.01836956 -1.7884 0.0744459 .
idITA 0.04111896 0.01834719 2.2412 0.0255490 *
idJPN 0.04752897 0.03314312 1.4341 0.1523176
idKOR -0.06106141 0.02956695 -2.0652 0.0395314 *
idNLD 0.00786894 0.00542298 1.4510 0.1475322
idNOR -0.07190213 0.02972799 -2.4187 0.0160111 *
idRUS -0.00067871 0.02848199 -0.0238 0.9810002
idSGP -0.03029642 0.02398136 -1.2633 0.2071860
idSWE -0.04859646 0.01875328 -2.5914 0.0099001 **
idTWN 0.01960928 0.00475956 4.1200 4.584e-05 ***
idUSA 0.12306683 0.04553760 2.7025 0.0071665 **
time2001 0.13273632 0.25582684 0.5189 0.6041431
time2002 0.13122697 0.25594902 0.5127 0.6084314
time2003 0.13355919 0.25604256 0.5216 0.6022097
time2004 0.13609760 0.25615589 0.5313 0.5954926
time2005 0.13584377 0.25627866 0.5301 0.5963547
time2006 0.13656933 0.25640894 0.5326 0.5945823
time2007 0.13888860 0.25656358 0.5413 0.5885653
time2008 0.13919185 0.25673326 0.5422 0.5879985
time2009 0.14156323 0.25695118 0.5509 0.5819780
time2010 0.14342650 0.25707352 0.5579 0.5772027
time2011 0.13835231 0.25723298 0.5378 0.5909729
time2012 0.13588928 0.25742356 0.5279 0.5978661
time2013 0.13049265 0.25753193 0.5067 0.6126337
time2014 0.13369288 0.25760809 0.5190 0.6040555
time2015 0.13077534 0.25768324 0.5075 0.6120733
time2016 0.13829378 0.25777495 0.5365 0.5919100
time2017 0.13687402 0.25788497 0.5308 0.5958745
time2018 0.13663538 0.25798198 0.5296 0.5966534
time2019 0.13074074 0.25808243 0.5066 0.6127175
iis130 0.05646763 0.01007925 5.6024 3.879e-08 ***
iis133 -0.04915187 0.01313907 -3.7409 0.0002094 ***
iis313 0.10082048 0.01178542 8.5547 2.368e-16 ***
iis314 0.22898593 0.01104412 20.7337 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.13768318 0.01050345 13.1084 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -0.17273991 0.01124194 -15.3657 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 0.03542426 0.01061442 3.3374 0.0009228 ***
iis468 0.04082519 0.01062779 3.8414 0.0001417 ***
iis470 -0.11935126 0.01087121 -10.9787 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 0.04324735 0.00679642 6.3633 5.277e-10 ***
fesisKOR.2015 -0.03031638 0.00604823 -5.0124 8.004e-07 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.02362887 0.00257231 9.1859 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2008 -0.05807219 0.00911050 -6.3742 4.945e-10 ***
tisJPN.2009 0.06643999 0.00989076 6.7174 6.182e-11 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.02686521 0.00312946 8.5846 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -0.04062693 0.00749809 -5.4183 1.027e-07 ***
tisUSA.2010 0.02344962 0.00706076 3.3211 0.0009767 ***
tisUSA.2014 -0.03253548 0.00434932 -7.4806 4.526e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.32933 1 0.5661
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 75.71052 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00909
R-squared 0.99838
Log-lik.(n=475) 1590.67415 0.01
Formula: max_count_ccmt~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:08:03 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.92164731 0.01333540 69.1128 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.01512646 0.00411605 3.6750 0.0002702 ***
lpop -0.02925243 0.01423442 -2.0550 0.0405215 *
idAUT -0.00311235 0.01180891 -0.2636 0.7922550
idBEL 0.00033237 0.00880942 0.0377 0.9699229
idBRA 0.05034307 0.02949537 1.7068 0.0886310 .
idCAN 0.01465045 0.00649279 2.2564 0.0245822 *
idCHE -0.01509944 0.01318950 -1.1448 0.2529717
idCHN 0.09422570 0.05310347 1.7744 0.0767591 .
idDEU 0.05306429 0.01956293 2.7125 0.0069655 **
idDNK -0.04151110 0.02014584 -2.0605 0.0399924 *
idESP 0.02762005 0.01149480 2.4028 0.0167223 *
idFIN -0.01074487 0.01732326 -0.6203 0.5354411
idFRA 0.03898278 0.01534756 2.5400 0.0114618 *
idGBR 0.03620448 0.01511052 2.3960 0.0170336 *
idIND 0.06063679 0.05065041 1.1972 0.2319504
idISR -0.02389053 0.01431153 -1.6693 0.0958342 .
idITA 0.03070165 0.01419648 2.1626 0.0311606 *
idJPN 0.03087426 0.02568549 1.2020 0.2300684
idKOR -0.04808118 0.02342152 -2.0529 0.0407342 *
idNLD 0.00684626 0.00435354 1.5726 0.1166068
idNOR -0.05406317 0.02294774 -2.3559 0.0189571 *
idRUS -0.00454401 0.02275730 -0.1997 0.8418377
idSGP -0.02078088 0.01882259 -1.1040 0.2702382
idSWE -0.03697559 0.01445657 -2.5577 0.0109035 *
idTWN 0.01558739 0.00364772 4.2732 2.410e-05 ***
idUSA 0.10081795 0.03494541 2.8850 0.0041252 **
time2001 0.06958925 0.20305207 0.3427 0.7319915
time2002 0.06795261 0.20314205 0.3345 0.7381712
time2003 0.07174976 0.20320985 0.3531 0.7242124
time2004 0.07270016 0.20329918 0.3576 0.7208294
time2005 0.07177538 0.20336974 0.3529 0.7243260
time2006 0.07197794 0.20348924 0.3537 0.7237356
time2007 0.07374700 0.20361552 0.3622 0.7174027
time2008 0.07473096 0.20374909 0.3668 0.7139771
time2009 0.07624863 0.20389657 0.3740 0.7086337
time2010 0.07708041 0.20400854 0.3778 0.7057573
time2011 0.07241224 0.20411765 0.3548 0.7229579
time2012 0.07089025 0.20424732 0.3471 0.7287130
time2013 0.06729243 0.20433098 0.3293 0.7420778
time2014 0.06983007 0.20440895 0.3416 0.7328163
time2015 0.06797164 0.20449042 0.3324 0.7397645
time2016 0.07201468 0.20458577 0.3520 0.7250214
time2017 0.07369729 0.20466174 0.3601 0.7189671
time2018 0.07193263 0.20474225 0.3513 0.7255233
time2019 0.06603131 0.20482001 0.3224 0.7473275
iis130 0.04685850 0.00867166 5.4036 1.123e-07 ***
iis132 -0.04364712 0.01189459 -3.6695 0.0002759 ***
iis133 -0.08142484 0.01394984 -5.8370 1.098e-08 ***
iis146 -0.04174932 0.00781516 -5.3421 1.544e-07 ***
iis313 0.10855306 0.00922657 11.7653 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.23559291 0.00868916 27.1134 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.13671583 0.00823617 16.5994 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -0.17071885 0.00884549 -19.3001 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis338 -0.08382065 0.00954076 -8.7855 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis340 -0.06161857 0.00854770 -7.2088 2.828e-12 ***
iis459 -0.03778384 0.00843779 -4.4779 9.839e-06 ***
iis463 0.03427361 0.00795625 4.3078 2.077e-05 ***
iis468 0.09112189 0.00898211 10.1448 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis469 0.06418385 0.00895868 7.1644 3.771e-12 ***
iis470 -0.08897469 0.00903455 -9.8483 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 -0.04723279 0.00894749 -5.2789 2.134e-07 ***
iis474 -0.04547220 0.00896215 -5.0738 5.976e-07 ***
iis475 -0.07742433 0.00902513 -8.5788 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.03503916 0.00466134 7.5170 3.698e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.03276939 0.00416691 -7.8642 3.475e-14 ***
fesisJPN.2008 -0.07437338 0.00773144 -9.6196 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2009 0.07794742 0.00680466 11.4550 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2015 0.04610489 0.01101719 4.1848 3.510e-05 ***
fesisUSA.2005 0.03877285 0.00619137 6.2624 9.770e-10 ***
fesisUSA.2012 -0.03152524 0.00687437 -4.5859 6.050e-06 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.02754644 0.00281879 9.7724 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2008 0.00793312 0.00088592 8.9547 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -0.01045296 0.00162876 -6.4177 3.908e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.97541 1 0.3233
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 42.08223 1 8.751e-11 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00715
R-squared 0.99902
Log-lik.(n=475) 1709.94923 Energy
Count Energy
0.001
Formula: count_energy~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 16:59:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.0227e-01 1.6464e-02 48.7281 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 8.5910e-13 8.8301e-14 9.7293 < 2.2e-16 ***
pop -1.8225e-07 1.1155e-07 -1.6338 0.1030808
idAUT 1.9170e+00 1.4104e+01 0.1359 0.8919474
idBEL -1.0168e+01 1.4094e+01 -0.7215 0.4710365
idBRA 1.4718e+01 2.3819e+01 0.6179 0.5369693
idCAN 2.8299e+01 1.4265e+01 1.9838 0.0479494 *
idCHE -6.9654e-01 1.4110e+01 -0.0494 0.9606527
idCHN 3.0070e+02 1.4516e+02 2.0716 0.0389328 *
idDEU 1.8351e+02 2.4695e+01 7.4312 6.369e-13 ***
idDNK 2.6908e+01 1.4230e+01 1.8909 0.0593423 .
idESP 9.4773e+00 1.4278e+01 0.6638 0.5072097
idFIN -1.0631e+01 1.4164e+01 -0.7506 0.4533520
idFRA 8.0866e+01 1.5783e+01 5.1235 4.637e-07 ***
idGBR 5.8093e+01 1.5277e+01 3.8027 0.0001650 ***
idIND 1.5088e+02 1.3489e+02 1.1185 0.2639945
idISR -5.6129e+00 1.4118e+01 -0.3976 0.6911500
idITA 1.8897e+01 1.4680e+01 1.2872 0.1987443
idJPN 1.5655e+02 4.4088e+01 3.5508 0.0004289 ***
idKOR -7.6241e+02 1.0080e+02 -7.5636 2.624e-13 ***
idNLD 5.1536e+00 1.4044e+01 0.3670 0.7138299
idNOR -1.4859e+01 1.4194e+01 -1.0469 0.2957640
idRUS -5.1433e+01 1.9710e+01 -2.6095 0.0094000 **
idSGP -1.4360e+01 1.4186e+01 -1.0123 0.3119914
idSWE -8.2803e+00 1.4105e+01 -0.5870 0.5574972
idTWN 4.2745e+01 1.4292e+01 2.9910 0.0029497 **
idUSA 3.5903e+02 4.3314e+01 8.2891 1.667e-15 ***
time2001 7.0858e+00 1.3177e+01 0.5377 0.5910478
time2002 -1.3145e+00 1.3175e+01 -0.0998 0.9205742
time2003 3.1482e+00 1.3184e+01 0.2388 0.8113878
time2004 2.1151e+01 1.3192e+01 1.6034 0.1096275
time2005 2.3229e+01 1.3188e+01 1.7613 0.0789336 .
time2006 1.8352e+01 1.3204e+01 1.3899 0.1653247
time2007 3.9766e+01 1.3232e+01 3.0054 0.0028164 **
time2008 4.2073e+01 1.3315e+01 3.1597 0.0016969 **
time2009 6.0336e+01 1.3694e+01 4.4062 1.347e-05 ***
time2010 5.4284e+01 1.3903e+01 3.9045 0.0001105 ***
time2011 4.9429e+01 1.4038e+01 3.5210 0.0004784 ***
time2012 1.5172e+01 1.4109e+01 1.0753 0.2828588
time2013 -7.1458e-02 1.3948e+01 -0.0051 0.9959148
time2014 1.5396e+01 1.3718e+01 1.1223 0.2623914
time2015 -2.6553e+00 1.3544e+01 -0.1960 0.8446717
time2016 1.9595e+01 1.3728e+01 1.4273 0.1542458
time2017 3.5545e+01 1.3670e+01 2.6002 0.0096557 **
time2018 2.8923e+01 1.3736e+01 2.1056 0.0358490 *
time2019 4.3897e+00 1.3770e+01 0.3188 0.7500421
iis130 2.8787e+02 5.0181e+01 5.7366 1.884e-08 ***
iis131 2.9355e+02 5.2023e+01 5.6426 3.138e-08 ***
iis132 3.0951e+02 5.4614e+01 5.6672 2.748e-08 ***
iis146 -3.0773e+02 4.7618e+01 -6.4625 2.940e-10 ***
iis313 8.4310e+02 7.8903e+01 10.6852 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 1.5762e+03 6.8684e+01 22.9483 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 8.8835e+02 5.7919e+01 15.3379 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -9.3577e+02 5.8290e+01 -16.0537 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 3.4920e+02 4.7313e+01 7.3808 8.907e-13 ***
iis333 3.1280e+02 4.8872e+01 6.4003 4.263e-10 ***
iis336 2.1644e+02 5.3245e+01 4.0650 5.764e-05 ***
iis339 4.7921e+02 4.8611e+01 9.8581 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis470 -4.7558e+02 4.6965e+01 -10.1261 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 3.1695e+02 2.9042e+01 10.9136 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.4665e+02 2.5935e+01 -9.5102 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -3.0205e+02 7.8214e+01 -3.8618 0.0001309 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -3.5996e+02 4.5247e+01 -7.9556 1.776e-14 ***
tisCHN.2012 5.3932e+01 6.5571e+00 8.2250 2.641e-15 ***
tisJPN.2009 6.2150e+01 8.7054e+00 7.1393 4.328e-12 ***
tisUSA.2005 1.9785e+02 1.3802e+01 14.3352 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -2.4808e+02 1.5493e+01 -16.0123 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.1169 1 0.2906
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 75.7868 1 <2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 43.22276
R-squared 0.99814
Log-lik.(n=475) -2429.52021 0.01
Formula: count_energy~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 16:59:46 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.7222e-01 1.3110e-02 58.9031 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 7.3570e-13 1.1197e-13 6.5703 1.558e-10 ***
pop 1.7344e-06 3.5671e-07 4.8621 1.669e-06 ***
idAUT 2.7942e+01 1.3741e+01 2.0334 0.0426662 *
idBEL 1.0028e+01 1.3441e+01 0.7461 0.4560654
idBRA -3.2014e+02 6.3439e+01 -5.0464 6.833e-07 ***
idCAN 9.1894e+00 1.3570e+01 0.6772 0.4986794
idCHE 2.6730e+01 1.3821e+01 1.9340 0.0538109 .
idCHN -2.1599e+03 4.6320e+02 -4.6629 4.249e-06 ***
idDEU 5.0510e+01 3.1201e+01 1.6189 0.1062579
idDNK 6.1929e+01 1.4290e+01 4.3336 1.855e-05 ***
idESP -3.4231e+01 1.5256e+01 -2.2437 0.0253956 *
idFIN 2.0100e+01 1.4142e+01 1.4213 0.1560070
idFRA 8.0469e+00 1.9901e+01 0.4044 0.6861674
idGBR -1.3555e+01 1.9306e+01 -0.7021 0.4829958
idIND -1.8761e+03 3.8109e+02 -4.9231 1.246e-06 ***
idISR 2.1564e+01 1.3831e+01 1.5591 0.1197561
idITA -5.0329e+01 1.8365e+01 -2.7405 0.0064074 **
idJPN 8.1894e+01 6.5022e+01 1.2595 0.2085857
idKOR -6.6343e+02 1.2775e+02 -5.1932 3.291e-07 ***
idNLD 1.6352e+01 1.3009e+01 1.2570 0.2094903
idNOR 1.6818e+01 1.4214e+01 1.1832 0.2374241
idRUS -2.7667e+02 4.6081e+01 -6.0040 4.308e-09 ***
idSGP 1.6729e+01 1.4199e+01 1.1782 0.2394094
idSWE 1.5848e+01 1.3614e+01 1.1641 0.2450730
idTWN 4.5603e+01 1.3029e+01 3.5000 0.0005173 ***
idUSA -1.1858e+02 9.7831e+01 -1.2121 0.2261731
time2001 -2.8635e+01 1.3586e+01 -2.1076 0.0356815 *
time2002 -3.7403e+01 1.3667e+01 -2.7367 0.0064821 **
time2003 -3.3683e+01 1.3768e+01 -2.4465 0.0148511 *
time2004 -1.7466e+01 1.3870e+01 -1.2593 0.2086542
time2005 -1.6213e+01 1.3960e+01 -1.1613 0.2461906
time2006 -2.1626e+01 1.4074e+01 -1.5366 0.1251767
time2007 4.7731e+00 1.4198e+01 0.3362 0.7369156
time2008 2.0571e+00 1.4310e+01 0.1438 0.8857675
time2009 1.5242e+01 1.4621e+01 1.0425 0.2977975
time2010 1.5338e+01 1.4680e+01 1.0448 0.2967344
time2011 9.2260e+00 1.4761e+01 0.6250 0.5323037
time2012 -2.5735e+01 1.4992e+01 -1.7166 0.0868257 .
time2013 -2.8830e+01 1.5129e+01 -1.9056 0.0574204 .
time2014 -2.4561e+01 1.4907e+01 -1.6476 0.1002136
time2015 -4.3924e+01 1.4761e+01 -2.9758 0.0030989 **
time2016 -2.3159e+01 1.4767e+01 -1.5684 0.1175852
time2017 -6.9331e+00 1.4742e+01 -0.4703 0.6384039
time2018 -1.3475e+01 1.4797e+01 -0.9107 0.3629961
time2019 -4.1966e+01 1.4775e+01 -2.8402 0.0047369 **
iis130 2.6971e+02 4.5466e+01 5.9322 6.451e-09 ***
iis131 2.7056e+02 4.7836e+01 5.6560 2.945e-08 ***
iis132 2.8503e+02 5.1319e+01 5.5540 5.086e-08 ***
iis146 -3.0257e+02 4.7608e+01 -6.3555 5.642e-10 ***
iis313 5.8872e+02 4.2406e+01 13.8829 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 1.3650e+03 4.2302e+01 32.2680 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 7.4614e+02 4.6074e+01 16.1945 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis317 -2.6068e+02 4.4286e+01 -5.8863 8.336e-09 ***
iis323 -8.6229e+02 4.8040e+01 -17.9493 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 3.6821e+02 4.3892e+01 8.3890 8.411e-16 ***
iis333 3.2322e+02 4.4930e+01 7.1940 3.102e-12 ***
iis336 1.6432e+02 5.1515e+01 3.1897 0.0015360 **
iis339 4.8261e+02 4.4653e+01 10.8080 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 1.2179e+02 4.6042e+01 2.6452 0.0084834 **
iis465 1.6014e+02 4.4814e+01 3.5735 0.0003951 ***
iis470 -4.4524e+02 4.2910e+01 -10.3762 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 1.7944e+02 5.3575e+01 3.3494 0.0008863 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -3.1390e+02 4.5084e+01 -6.9626 1.368e-11 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -4.8331e+02 5.7432e+01 -8.4152 6.955e-16 ***
tisCHN.2014 5.7377e+01 9.4886e+00 6.0469 3.378e-09 ***
tisDEU.2004 3.3044e+01 9.6864e+00 3.4113 0.0007120 ***
tisDEU.2012 -3.2030e+01 1.1981e+01 -2.6733 0.0078176 **
tisIND.2002 -3.2480e+01 6.1566e+00 -5.2756 2.168e-07 ***
tisJPN.2009 3.4943e+01 3.8544e+00 9.0658 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 3.0295e+01 1.0336e+01 2.9312 0.0035698 **
tisUSA.2005 1.8693e+02 1.3071e+01 14.3010 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -2.3510e+02 1.5229e+01 -15.4376 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.375 1 0.1233
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 38.109 1 6.689e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 39.60126
R-squared 0.99846
Log-lik.(n=475) -2384.95477 Log Count Energy
0.001
Formula: log_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:02:54 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.578454 0.032073 18.0353 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.725690 0.109028 6.6560 8.703e-11 ***
lpop -1.674823 0.338378 -4.9496 1.074e-06 ***
idAUT -0.449082 0.288850 -1.5547 0.1207558
idBEL -0.421115 0.216254 -1.9473 0.0521554 .
idBRA 2.467845 0.694165 3.5551 0.0004202 ***
idCAN 1.000161 0.161222 6.2036 1.310e-09 ***
idCHE -1.012341 0.315827 -3.2054 0.0014507 **
idCHN 5.299190 1.259724 4.2066 3.164e-05 ***
idDEU 2.891350 0.445015 6.4972 2.293e-10 ***
idDNK -2.144544 0.475361 -4.5114 8.345e-06 ***
idESP 0.979644 0.285434 3.4321 0.0006576 ***
idFIN -1.156702 0.419527 -2.7572 0.0060818 **
idFRA 2.221372 0.368916 6.0214 3.744e-09 ***
idGBR 2.185261 0.365067 5.9859 4.579e-09 ***
idIND 3.875393 1.210589 3.2012 0.0014711 **
idISR -1.528075 0.342006 -4.4680 1.014e-05 ***
idITA 1.789731 0.340021 5.2636 2.247e-07 ***
idJPN 0.282371 0.585204 0.4825 0.6296865
idKOR -2.368921 0.605083 -3.9150 0.0001053 ***
idNLD 0.252562 0.115475 2.1872 0.0292758 *
idNOR -3.291267 0.554770 -5.9327 6.185e-09 ***
idRUS 0.435254 0.582559 0.7471 0.4553917
idSGP -2.650062 0.501569 -5.2835 2.029e-07 ***
idSWE -2.142705 0.350310 -6.1166 2.170e-09 ***
idTWN 0.897916 0.103377 8.6858 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 4.100635 0.816667 5.0212 7.571e-07 ***
time2001 9.546969 4.952316 1.9278 0.0545487 .
time2002 9.495034 4.954115 1.9166 0.0559597 .
time2003 9.551290 4.954005 1.9280 0.0545219 .
time2004 9.639726 4.955844 1.9451 0.0524193 .
time2005 9.741739 4.957697 1.9650 0.0500684 .
time2006 9.776880 4.959646 1.9713 0.0493395 *
time2007 9.955695 4.962849 2.0060 0.0454847 *
time2008 10.025543 4.965206 2.0192 0.0440980 *
time2009 10.076209 4.967212 2.0285 0.0431278 *
time2010 10.056907 4.969199 2.0238 0.0436109 *
time2011 10.058501 4.971093 2.0234 0.0436575 *
time2012 9.947145 4.973213 2.0001 0.0461205 *
time2013 9.834405 4.975530 1.9766 0.0487381 *
time2014 9.854278 4.977992 1.9796 0.0483968 *
time2015 9.808409 4.980240 1.9695 0.0495488 *
time2016 9.902999 4.982566 1.9875 0.0475051 *
time2017 9.943662 4.984281 1.9950 0.0466805 *
time2018 9.901148 4.986113 1.9857 0.0477038 *
time2019 9.757669 4.987772 1.9563 0.0510823 .
iis74 -0.735622 0.192370 -3.8240 0.0001510 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.630340 0.142233 4.4317 1.191e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.488747 0.102521 -4.7673 2.569e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2003 0.903644 0.145193 6.2237 1.165e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.0059366 1 0.938584
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 13.1211724 1 0.000292 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.18279
R-squared 0.98625
Log-lik.(n=475) 158.22408 0.01
Formula: log_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:02:54 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.547768 0.029767 18.4019 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.683959 0.109212 6.2626 9.527e-10 ***
lpop -1.586380 0.341905 -4.6398 4.692e-06 ***
idAUT -0.432067 0.286001 -1.5107 0.1316277
idBEL -0.342328 0.214390 -1.5968 0.1110866
idBRA 1.639476 0.696453 2.3540 0.0190396 *
idCAN 0.994955 0.159555 6.2358 1.115e-09 ***
idCHE -0.959095 0.315128 -3.0435 0.0024882 **
idCHN 5.037915 1.270884 3.9641 8.684e-05 ***
idDEU 2.879905 0.447834 6.4307 3.523e-10 ***
idDNK -2.288836 0.485593 -4.7135 3.337e-06 ***
idESP 0.871054 0.274479 3.1735 0.0016192 **
idFIN -1.137549 0.418617 -2.7174 0.0068572 **
idFRA 2.180272 0.371083 5.8754 8.706e-09 ***
idGBR 2.133808 0.367327 5.8090 1.258e-08 ***
idIND 3.673441 1.212823 3.0288 0.0026095 **
idISR -1.462923 0.343256 -4.2619 2.515e-05 ***
idITA 1.718463 0.342047 5.0241 7.553e-07 ***
idJPN 0.481343 0.585801 0.8217 0.4117319
idKOR -2.079844 0.606902 -3.4270 0.0006717 ***
idNLD 0.247902 0.109358 2.2669 0.0239150 *
idNOR -3.158116 0.560318 -5.6363 3.228e-08 ***
idRUS 0.395239 0.575115 0.6872 0.4923211
idSGP -2.656453 0.500923 -5.3031 1.861e-07 ***
idSWE -2.036025 0.353517 -5.7593 1.654e-08 ***
idTWN 0.896391 0.097319 9.2108 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 4.065720 0.822153 4.9452 1.109e-06 ***
time2001 9.361479 4.935533 1.8968 0.0585599 .
time2002 9.307253 4.937426 1.8850 0.0601277 .
time2003 9.382062 4.938952 1.8996 0.0581829 .
time2004 9.426267 4.940510 1.9080 0.0570920 .
time2005 9.536034 4.942863 1.9293 0.0543859 .
time2006 9.593812 4.944869 1.9402 0.0530429 .
time2007 9.738097 4.947520 1.9683 0.0497061 *
time2008 9.822186 4.950358 1.9841 0.0479037 *
time2009 9.883925 4.952834 1.9956 0.0466344 *
time2010 9.876216 4.954935 1.9932 0.0468977 *
time2011 9.886885 4.956848 1.9946 0.0467459 *
time2012 9.783170 4.958976 1.9728 0.0491841 *
time2013 9.673907 4.961001 1.9500 0.0518551 .
time2014 9.663901 4.962993 1.9472 0.0521908 .
time2015 9.609415 4.965080 1.9354 0.0536252 .
time2016 9.686525 4.967002 1.9502 0.0518331 .
time2017 9.762755 4.968862 1.9648 0.0501105 .
time2018 9.721512 4.970529 1.9558 0.0511606 .
time2019 9.609059 4.972178 1.9326 0.0539749 .
iis41 -0.648768 0.165873 -3.9112 0.0001074 ***
iis43 -0.555559 0.165119 -3.3646 0.0008384 ***
iis57 -0.604621 0.165440 -3.6546 0.0002909 ***
iis74 -0.899794 0.175990 -5.1128 4.872e-07 ***
iis415 0.525229 0.171641 3.0600 0.0023577 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.778779 0.159006 4.8978 1.395e-06 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.313585 0.101273 3.0964 0.0020926 **
fesisDNK.2005 0.371551 0.092374 4.0223 6.857e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.462434 0.090130 -5.1307 4.454e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2003 1.162718 0.149814 7.7611 6.712e-14 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -0.775538 0.188124 -4.1225 4.534e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.148618 0.186656 6.1537 1.796e-09 ***
tisBRA.2002 0.229749 0.040765 5.6359 3.234e-08 ***
tisBRA.2006 -0.305001 0.051979 -5.8677 9.087e-09 ***
tisESP.2003 0.417821 0.069228 6.0354 3.537e-09 ***
tisESP.2005 -0.438819 0.073845 -5.9424 5.984e-09 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.048902 0.012492 -3.9146 0.0001059 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.8141 1 0.093437 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 7.1960 1 0.007307 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15681
R-squared 0.99019
Log-lik.(n=475) 237.56048 Ihs Count Energy
0.001
Formula: ihs_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:04:37 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.562326 0.031057 18.1065 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.771584 0.105788 7.2937 1.520e-12 ***
lpop -1.782595 0.367636 -4.8488 1.754e-06 ***
idAUT -0.480959 0.319056 -1.5074 0.1324498
idBEL -0.447174 0.238347 -1.8761 0.0613301 .
idBRA 1.911066 0.759130 2.5174 0.0121931 *
idCAN 1.058705 0.173563 6.0998 2.416e-09 ***
idCHE -1.077809 0.348550 -3.0923 0.0021191 **
idCHN 5.618312 1.395136 4.0271 6.705e-05 ***
idDEU 3.053709 0.487390 6.2654 9.237e-10 ***
idDNK -2.290275 0.513494 -4.4602 1.053e-05 ***
idESP 1.020695 0.298481 3.4196 0.0006885 ***
idFIN -1.231483 0.466539 -2.6396 0.0086098 **
idFRA 2.351474 0.402175 5.8469 1.009e-08 ***
idGBR 2.315815 0.396398 5.8421 1.036e-08 ***
idIND 4.125647 1.341820 3.0747 0.0022453 **
idISR -1.626194 0.374853 -4.3382 1.802e-05 ***
idITA 1.901856 0.368865 5.1560 3.898e-07 ***
idJPN 0.270631 0.633911 0.4269 0.6696547
idKOR -2.545818 0.598253 -4.2554 2.577e-05 ***
idNLD 0.267272 0.119333 2.2397 0.0256335 *
idNOR -3.500335 0.595355 -5.8794 8.418e-09 ***
idRUS 0.454238 0.640226 0.7095 0.4784112
idSGP -3.202399 0.560735 -5.7111 2.130e-08 ***
idSWE -2.277768 0.369150 -6.1703 1.609e-09 ***
idTWN 0.943939 0.100983 9.3475 < 2.2e-16 ***
idUSA 4.335136 0.906598 4.7818 2.410e-06 ***
time2001 10.465781 5.505462 1.9010 0.0579903 .
time2002 10.391787 5.507713 1.8868 0.0598824 .
time2003 10.434805 5.509264 1.8940 0.0589072 .
time2004 10.530499 5.511268 1.9107 0.0567226 .
time2005 10.621863 5.513735 1.9264 0.0547259 .
time2006 10.703267 5.515961 1.9404 0.0529995 .
time2007 10.840661 5.518929 1.9643 0.0501595 .
time2008 10.917144 5.522137 1.9770 0.0486992 *
time2009 10.974535 5.524921 1.9864 0.0476433 *
time2010 10.958129 5.527268 1.9826 0.0480696 *
time2011 10.962957 5.529388 1.9827 0.0480569 *
time2012 10.853781 5.531739 1.9621 0.0504132 .
time2013 10.739757 5.533937 1.9407 0.0529641 .
time2014 10.759918 5.536070 1.9436 0.0526126 .
time2015 10.713586 5.538211 1.9345 0.0537264 .
time2016 10.809951 5.540391 1.9511 0.0517092 .
time2017 10.855617 5.542349 1.9587 0.0508147 .
time2018 10.813163 5.544179 1.9504 0.0517993 .
time2019 10.668770 5.545897 1.9237 0.0550665 .
iis74 -0.835396 0.195809 -4.2664 2.458e-05 ***
iis402 0.834814 0.203702 4.0982 5.000e-05 ***
fesisESP.2003 0.692279 0.137908 5.0198 7.661e-07 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.497692 0.099698 -4.9920 8.782e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2006 -1.530672 0.264974 -5.7767 1.487e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.226899 0.210144 5.8384 1.058e-08 ***
tisBRA.2002 0.269772 0.060662 4.4471 1.116e-05 ***
tisBRA.2005 -0.272015 0.066019 -4.1203 4.562e-05 ***
tisSGP.2002 0.401284 0.057124 7.0248 8.722e-12 ***
tisSGP.2007 -0.446251 0.058734 -7.5978 1.987e-13 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.37149 1 0.542195
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 10.20229 1 0.001403 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.17650
R-squared 0.98769
Log-lik.(n=475) 177.85096 0.01
Formula: ihs_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:04:38 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.586116 0.029150 20.1071 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.604756 0.110039 5.4959 6.881e-08 ***
lpop -1.427243 0.339454 -4.2045 3.221e-05 ***
idAUT -0.403325 0.284639 -1.4170 0.1572592
idBEL -0.317400 0.213302 -1.4880 0.1375185
idBRA 1.893666 0.691764 2.7374 0.0064641 **
idCAN 0.903159 0.158058 5.7141 2.137e-08 ***
idCHE -0.875362 0.312952 -2.7971 0.0054014 **
idCHN 4.592439 1.260931 3.6421 0.0003054 ***
idDEU 2.618744 0.443233 5.9083 7.323e-09 ***
idDNK -1.990043 0.480783 -4.1392 4.241e-05 ***
idESP 0.746690 0.273000 2.7351 0.0065089 **
idFIN -1.053657 0.415855 -2.5337 0.0116614 *
idFRA 1.979197 0.367771 5.3816 1.251e-07 ***
idGBR 1.932550 0.364222 5.3060 1.847e-07 ***
idIND 3.358260 1.204428 2.7883 0.0055483 **
idISR -1.325455 0.340605 -3.8915 0.0001164 ***
idITA 1.550523 0.339434 4.5680 6.541e-06 ***
idJPN 0.522081 0.585566 0.8916 0.3731440
idKOR -1.768277 0.612434 -2.8873 0.0040934 **
idNLD 0.213242 0.109702 1.9438 0.0526070 .
idNOR -2.848153 0.556582 -5.1172 4.794e-07 ***
idRUS 0.391387 0.573720 0.6822 0.4955067
idSGP -2.213464 0.501442 -4.4142 1.301e-05 ***
idSWE -1.828112 0.351698 -5.1980 3.199e-07 ***
idTWN 0.819800 0.097313 8.4244 6.342e-16 ***
idUSA 3.709267 0.814339 4.5549 6.939e-06 ***
time2001 9.051779 4.910105 1.8435 0.0659847 .
time2002 8.946333 4.911801 1.8214 0.0692825 .
time2003 9.049696 4.913289 1.8419 0.0662216 .
time2004 9.111019 4.914894 1.8538 0.0644991 .
time2005 9.204686 4.916839 1.8721 0.0619150 .
time2006 9.266194 4.918703 1.8839 0.0602970 .
time2007 9.405373 4.921719 1.9110 0.0567093 .
time2008 9.475752 4.924387 1.9243 0.0550219 .
time2009 9.522384 4.926687 1.9328 0.0539539 .
time2010 9.508565 4.928738 1.9292 0.0544016 .
time2011 9.515320 4.930626 1.9298 0.0543230 .
time2012 9.406095 4.932725 1.9069 0.0572422 .
time2013 9.295776 4.934810 1.8837 0.0603180 .
time2014 9.300767 4.936749 1.8840 0.0602811 .
time2015 9.245986 4.938903 1.8721 0.0619152 .
time2016 9.341022 4.940875 1.8906 0.0593949 .
time2017 9.410188 4.942715 1.9039 0.0576365 .
time2018 9.331927 4.944614 1.8873 0.0598343 .
time2019 9.258609 4.946031 1.8719 0.0619354 .
iis41 -0.696284 0.165057 -4.2185 3.036e-05 ***
iis43 -0.580517 0.164520 -3.5286 0.0004656 ***
iis57 -0.640753 0.164745 -3.8894 0.0001174 ***
iis58 -0.700489 0.167825 -4.1739 3.665e-05 ***
iis62 0.581190 0.167450 3.4708 0.0005745 ***
iis63 0.559701 0.167923 3.3331 0.0009377 ***
iis74 -0.709687 0.195096 -3.6376 0.0003106 ***
iis75 0.522275 0.197410 2.6456 0.0084704 **
iis400 -0.769137 0.199663 -3.8522 0.0001360 ***
iis402 1.069088 0.197535 5.4121 1.067e-07 ***
iis403 0.744115 0.195268 3.8107 0.0001600 ***
iis404 1.140998 0.195981 5.8220 1.183e-08 ***
iis415 0.638884 0.174049 3.6707 0.0002742 ***
iis417 0.557252 0.183310 3.0399 0.0025195 **
fesisBRA.2014 0.545598 0.123505 4.4176 1.282e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2016 -0.489606 0.160739 -3.0460 0.0024707 **
fesisCHN.2015 0.309392 0.100694 3.0726 0.0022650 **
fesisDNK.2007 0.303230 0.081934 3.7009 0.0002444 ***
fesisRUS.2007 -0.423258 0.089653 -4.7211 3.235e-06 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.395564 0.164542 8.4815 4.184e-16 ***
tisESP.2003 0.405515 0.068698 5.9028 7.549e-09 ***
tisESP.2005 -0.427286 0.073297 -5.8295 1.134e-08 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.066343 0.013414 -4.9459 1.112e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.9388 1 0.0262609 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 12.8836 1 0.0003315 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.15601
R-squared 0.99068
Log-lik.(n=475) 242.98999 Max Count Energy
0.001
Formula: max_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:08:05 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.8632216 0.0155585 55.4824 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0166911 0.0053517 3.1188 0.0019428 **
lpop -0.0372730 0.0184865 -2.0162 0.0444234 *
idAUT -0.0086681 0.0154775 -0.5600 0.5757549
idBEL -0.0038750 0.0115741 -0.3348 0.7379440
idBRA 0.0657788 0.0383777 1.7140 0.0872821 .
idCAN 0.0176308 0.0084519 2.0860 0.0375895 *
idCHE -0.0221505 0.0172077 -1.2872 0.1987292
idCHN 0.1209023 0.0690646 1.7506 0.0807628 .
idDEU 0.0811846 0.0243593 3.3328 0.0009373 ***
idDNK -0.0501892 0.0261004 -1.9229 0.0551764 .
idESP 0.0344129 0.0149649 2.2996 0.0219708 *
idFIN -0.0198178 0.0226592 -0.8746 0.3822986
idFRA 0.0462127 0.0197920 2.3349 0.0200262 *
idGBR 0.0444540 0.0195474 2.2742 0.0234684 *
idIND 0.0850335 0.0660143 1.2881 0.1984298
idISR -0.0318009 0.0186255 -1.7074 0.0885014 .
idITA 0.0374516 0.0184190 2.0333 0.0426603 *
idJPN 0.0498258 0.0334917 1.4877 0.1375918
idKOR -0.0466347 0.0308112 -1.5136 0.1309016
idNLD 0.0050018 0.0057669 0.8673 0.3862682
idNOR -0.0673757 0.0297593 -2.2640 0.0240907 *
idRUS 0.0043938 0.0298365 0.1473 0.8829973
idSGP -0.0307181 0.0245478 -1.2514 0.2115128
idSWE -0.0467193 0.0187926 -2.4860 0.0133116 *
idTWN 0.0166453 0.0047300 3.5191 0.0004812 ***
idUSA 0.1087202 0.0447770 2.4280 0.0156071 *
time2001 0.1611306 0.2656130 0.6066 0.5444254
time2002 0.1596311 0.2657350 0.6007 0.5483592
time2003 0.1604420 0.2658320 0.6035 0.5464764
time2004 0.1637028 0.2659428 0.6156 0.5385264
time2005 0.1640734 0.2660569 0.6167 0.5377821
time2006 0.1630832 0.2661816 0.6127 0.5404273
time2007 0.1695964 0.2663212 0.6368 0.5246003
time2008 0.1695081 0.2665281 0.6360 0.5251380
time2009 0.1721494 0.2667334 0.6454 0.5190273
time2010 0.1699753 0.2668891 0.6369 0.5245585
time2011 0.1681416 0.2670370 0.6297 0.5292674
time2012 0.1594378 0.2671882 0.5967 0.5510183
time2013 0.1595301 0.2672922 0.5968 0.5509427
time2014 0.1628878 0.2673572 0.6093 0.5426927
time2015 0.1597910 0.2674560 0.5974 0.5505360
time2016 0.1630205 0.2675390 0.6093 0.5426385
time2017 0.1659898 0.2676563 0.6202 0.5354941
time2018 0.1645350 0.2677726 0.6145 0.5392510
time2019 0.1573636 0.2678673 0.5875 0.5572101
iis146 -0.0765217 0.0103142 -7.4190 6.773e-13 ***
iis313 0.1850591 0.0168846 10.9602 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.3178006 0.0148944 21.3369 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.1704882 0.0129595 13.1555 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis323 -0.1808061 0.0130055 -13.9023 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 0.0758427 0.0103412 7.3340 1.190e-12 ***
iis333 0.0633508 0.0104426 6.0666 2.956e-09 ***
iis339 0.0982136 0.0108729 9.0329 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis470 -0.0974258 0.0104400 -9.3320 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisCHN.2016 0.0826954 0.0071560 11.5560 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2009 -0.0918529 0.0161997 -5.6700 2.686e-08 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -0.1170876 0.0114752 -10.2035 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2009 0.0141311 0.0019195 7.3619 9.900e-13 ***
tisKOR.2009 0.0139182 0.0015231 9.1378 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.0303943 0.0028392 10.7051 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -0.0397594 0.0032556 -12.2125 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 4.0524 1 0.04411 *
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 55.8848 1 7.683e-14 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00969
R-squared 0.99737
Log-lik.(n=475) 1559.63396 0.01
Formula: max_count_energy~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:08:06 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.84108382 0.01453651 57.8601 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.01795479 0.00440808 4.0732 5.583e-05 ***
lpop -0.04090994 0.01540766 -2.6552 0.008240 **
idAUT -0.01015238 0.01295464 -0.7837 0.433683
idBEL -0.00479448 0.00967443 -0.4956 0.620458
idBRA 0.07242385 0.03203917 2.2605 0.024323 *
idCAN 0.01959065 0.00701096 2.7943 0.005449 **
idCHE -0.02463110 0.01438297 -1.7125 0.087568 .
idCHN 0.13236617 0.05770665 2.2938 0.022316 *
idDEU 0.07341074 0.02070620 3.5454 0.000438 ***
idDNK -0.05498323 0.02174911 -2.5281 0.011849 *
idESP 0.03766614 0.01242886 3.0305 0.002598 **
idFIN -0.02253290 0.01896581 -1.1881 0.235500
idFRA 0.05105628 0.01646200 3.1015 0.002061 **
idGBR 0.04902398 0.01625924 3.0151 0.002731 **
idIND 0.09472049 0.05522750 1.7151 0.087094 .
idISR -0.03508364 0.01553915 -2.2578 0.024494 *
idITA 0.04120576 0.01533585 2.6869 0.007510 **
idJPN 0.05883307 0.02788388 2.1099 0.035479 *
idKOR -0.04964123 0.02546620 -1.9493 0.051951 .
idNLD 0.00522787 0.00478527 1.0925 0.275268
idNOR -0.07378221 0.02475164 -2.9809 0.003048 **
idRUS 0.00620575 0.02500664 0.2482 0.804134
idSGP -0.03434920 0.02052672 -1.6734 0.095025 .
idSWE -0.05094858 0.01559355 -3.2673 0.001179 **
idTWN 0.01817673 0.00387277 4.6935 3.684e-06 ***
idUSA 0.12014343 0.03730817 3.2203 0.001384 **
time2001 0.18755640 0.22258143 0.8426 0.399927
time2002 0.18614417 0.22268044 0.8359 0.403691
time2003 0.18699460 0.22276011 0.8394 0.401717
time2004 0.19029174 0.22285111 0.8539 0.393668
time2005 0.19082305 0.22294507 0.8559 0.392550
time2006 0.19001287 0.22304707 0.8519 0.394777
time2007 0.19455620 0.22318057 0.8717 0.383866
time2008 0.19366435 0.22334899 0.8671 0.386406
time2009 0.19619111 0.22350781 0.8778 0.380584
time2010 0.19545650 0.22363135 0.8740 0.382631
time2011 0.19415612 0.22374809 0.8677 0.386049
time2012 0.18749054 0.22389249 0.8374 0.402855
time2013 0.18726820 0.22396706 0.8361 0.403569
time2014 0.18889877 0.22406477 0.8431 0.399697
time2015 0.18573371 0.22414576 0.8286 0.407804
time2016 0.18958027 0.22424151 0.8454 0.398372
time2017 0.19269726 0.22432523 0.8590 0.390845
time2018 0.19136713 0.22440977 0.8528 0.394299
time2019 0.18547624 0.22449155 0.8262 0.409175
iis130 0.06325943 0.00880731 7.1826 3.316e-12 ***
iis131 0.05781718 0.00936920 6.1710 1.651e-09 ***
iis132 0.05468546 0.01021136 5.3554 1.436e-07 ***
iis146 -0.06292214 0.00866353 -7.2629 1.965e-12 ***
iis313 0.10707633 0.00844087 12.6855 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.25089427 0.00846635 29.6343 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis315 0.11844940 0.00935740 12.6584 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -0.03917298 0.00965288 -4.0582 5.939e-05 ***
iis317 -0.06616102 0.00898639 -7.3624 1.022e-12 ***
iis323 -0.15872576 0.00951037 -16.6897 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis332 0.08094419 0.00845417 9.5745 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis333 0.07047373 0.00866371 8.1344 5.152e-15 ***
iis336 0.02721632 0.01023758 2.6585 0.008161 **
iis339 0.09614713 0.00885907 10.8530 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.02728703 0.00915230 2.9814 0.003043 **
iis465 0.02905789 0.00890263 3.2640 0.001192 **
iis470 -0.09155833 0.00852156 -10.7443 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2007 0.05358941 0.00520927 10.2873 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.04893903 0.00476964 -10.2605 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2014 -0.10001133 0.01129353 -8.8556 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.01271105 0.00204561 6.2138 1.288e-09 ***
tisJPN.2009 0.00431556 0.00078714 5.4826 7.398e-08 ***
tisKOR.2009 0.01278323 0.00145018 8.8149 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.02930674 0.00265376 11.0435 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2008 -0.03768366 0.00307116 -12.2702 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.0477 1 0.306
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 29.2888 1 6.236e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.00787
R-squared 0.99830
Log-lik.(n=475) 1662.98207 Solar
Count Solar
0.001
Formula: count_solar~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:01:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 6.2404e-01 2.1649e-02 28.8248 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 3.1272e-13 1.0069e-13 3.1059 0.0020298 **
pop -8.0579e-08 6.7210e-08 -1.1989 0.2312553
idAUT -7.4397e+00 7.6190e+00 -0.9765 0.3294099
idBEL -9.7568e+00 7.6080e+00 -1.2824 0.2004170
idBRA -2.1861e+00 1.3804e+01 -0.1584 0.8742398
idCAN 1.1912e+00 7.5988e+00 0.1568 0.8755155
idCHE -1.3076e+00 7.6118e+00 -0.1718 0.8636933
idCHN 1.1356e+02 8.5513e+01 1.3280 0.1849162
idDEU 8.2114e+01 1.2046e+01 6.8169 3.359e-11 ***
idDNK -1.4471e+01 7.6833e+00 -1.8834 0.0603552 .
idESP 3.1531e+00 7.7218e+00 0.4083 0.6832363
idFIN -1.4143e+01 7.6763e+00 -1.8424 0.0661417 .
idFRA 3.0351e+01 8.2287e+00 3.6884 0.0002562 ***
idGBR 1.2749e+01 8.0671e+00 1.5804 0.1147830
idIND 6.4990e+01 7.8392e+01 0.8290 0.4075699
idISR -8.0841e-01 7.6163e+00 -0.1061 0.9155219
idITA 1.0839e+01 7.9776e+00 1.3587 0.1749966
idJPN -9.7253e+00 4.8095e+01 -0.2022 0.8398520
idKOR -3.1419e+02 1.0865e+02 -2.8919 0.0040347 **
idNLD -1.0330e+00 7.5651e+00 -0.1365 0.8914542
idNOR -1.5906e+01 7.7071e+00 -2.0638 0.0396695 *
idRUS -2.7502e+01 1.1177e+01 -2.4607 0.0142801 *
idSGP -1.4082e+01 7.6767e+00 -1.8344 0.0673233 .
idSWE -1.3009e+01 7.6545e+00 -1.6995 0.0899960 .
idTWN 3.4566e+01 7.7618e+00 4.4534 1.093e-05 ***
idUSA 9.9663e+01 2.2400e+01 4.4493 1.113e-05 ***
time2001 5.0585e+00 7.1935e+00 0.7032 0.4823235
time2002 2.5540e+00 7.1619e+00 0.3566 0.7215692
time2003 7.5650e+00 7.1511e+00 1.0579 0.2907370
time2004 1.0667e+01 7.1417e+00 1.4937 0.1360392
time2005 1.4820e+01 7.1898e+00 2.0613 0.0399118 *
time2006 1.7066e+01 7.2090e+00 2.3673 0.0183852 *
time2007 2.3248e+01 7.2315e+00 3.2148 0.0014093 **
time2008 3.5733e+01 7.2553e+00 4.9251 1.227e-06 ***
time2009 4.5818e+01 7.3476e+00 6.2357 1.125e-09 ***
time2010 3.1120e+01 7.5946e+00 4.0977 5.036e-05 ***
time2011 3.5590e+01 7.6545e+00 4.6496 4.498e-06 ***
time2012 2.0272e+01 7.6267e+00 2.6581 0.0081680 **
time2013 1.5143e+01 7.4476e+00 2.0333 0.0426722 *
time2014 7.8756e+00 7.3651e+00 1.0693 0.2855560
time2015 2.0030e+01 7.2928e+00 2.7466 0.0062884 **
time2016 1.7369e+01 7.3742e+00 2.3554 0.0189733 *
time2017 1.2924e+01 7.3695e+00 1.7537 0.0802370 .
time2018 2.0290e+01 7.4037e+00 2.7406 0.0064030 **
time2019 7.4383e+00 7.4839e+00 0.9939 0.3208561
iis312 -2.6406e+02 3.3588e+01 -7.8620 3.408e-14 ***
iis314 1.5215e+02 3.2416e+01 4.6939 3.666e-06 ***
iis316 -1.0116e+02 3.0366e+01 -3.3314 0.0009429 ***
iis339 2.4135e+02 2.5550e+01 9.4464 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis462 -2.8505e+02 3.5959e+01 -7.9271 2.167e-14 ***
iis463 -2.4326e+02 3.1186e+01 -7.8003 5.220e-14 ***
fesisCHN.2019 -4.5264e+02 3.3439e+01 -13.5362 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -2.0654e+02 2.5445e+01 -8.1168 5.704e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2008 5.3763e+02 2.6297e+01 20.4447 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.5482e+02 2.9310e+01 5.2822 2.082e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2006 3.8729e+02 5.6343e+01 6.8738 2.351e-11 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.6928e+02 2.4987e+01 -6.7745 4.374e-11 ***
tisCHN.2008 1.3412e+01 2.5190e+00 5.3246 1.675e-07 ***
tisCHN.2015 6.8419e+01 8.0173e+00 8.5339 2.814e-16 ***
tisDEU.2007 1.1099e+02 9.7318e+00 11.4045 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -1.1607e+02 1.1655e+01 -9.9589 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2011 -1.7553e+02 1.6356e+01 -10.7324 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2013 1.3793e+02 2.0222e+01 6.8208 3.278e-11 ***
tisKOR.2010 -2.6218e+01 5.5816e+00 -4.6972 3.610e-06 ***
tisUSA.2005 9.8474e+01 2.6615e+01 3.6999 0.0002452 ***
tisUSA.2007 -1.2857e+02 2.6924e+01 -4.7752 2.507e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.5882 1 0.2076
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 33.2696 1 8.023e-09 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 23.29203
R-squared 0.99278
Log-lik.(n=475) -2135.84863 0.01
Formula: count_solar~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:01:20 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 8.0469e-01 1.8284e-02 44.0109 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 1.8087e-13 9.7117e-14 1.8624 0.0632762 .
pop -4.2794e-08 6.4883e-08 -0.6596 0.5099160
idAUT -3.8185e+00 7.3508e+00 -0.5195 0.6037203
idBEL -5.3871e+00 7.3389e+00 -0.7340 0.4633484
idBRA -1.1392e+00 1.3345e+01 -0.0854 0.9320180
idCAN 6.5567e-01 7.3348e+00 0.0894 0.9288154
idCHE -8.7961e-01 7.3474e+00 -0.1197 0.9047667
idCHN 6.4461e+01 8.2538e+01 0.7810 0.4352713
idDEU 5.6770e+01 1.1594e+01 4.8966 1.414e-06 ***
idDNK -7.8005e+00 7.4047e+00 -1.0535 0.2927646
idESP 1.9735e+00 7.4533e+00 0.2648 0.7913124
idFIN -7.3134e+00 7.3981e+00 -0.9886 0.3234718
idFRA 1.7390e+01 7.9001e+00 2.2012 0.0282867 *
idGBR 6.7812e+00 7.7763e+00 0.8720 0.3837138
idIND 3.3469e+01 7.5690e+01 0.4422 0.6585951
idISR 2.7981e-01 7.3514e+00 0.0381 0.9696572
idITA 5.8260e+00 7.6929e+00 0.7573 0.4492956
idJPN -1.5337e+01 4.6780e+01 -0.3279 0.7431855
idKOR -1.7717e+02 1.0483e+02 -1.6901 0.0917806 .
idNLD -9.0507e-02 7.3020e+00 -0.0124 0.9901168
idNOR -8.5274e+00 7.4249e+00 -1.1485 0.2514480
idRUS -1.5918e+01 1.0759e+01 -1.4795 0.1397797
idSGP -7.5788e+00 7.3993e+00 -1.0243 0.3063307
idSWE -6.9862e+00 7.3787e+00 -0.9468 0.3443019
idTWN 1.9839e+01 7.4455e+00 2.6646 0.0080178 **
idUSA 5.8553e+01 2.1251e+01 2.7553 0.0061293 **
time2001 2.5764e+00 6.9413e+00 0.3712 0.7107093
time2002 8.4716e-03 6.9110e+00 0.0012 0.9990226
time2003 5.2545e+00 6.9010e+00 0.7614 0.4468585
time2004 7.7301e+00 6.8918e+00 1.1216 0.2626849
time2005 9.5420e+00 6.8754e+00 1.3879 0.1659492
time2006 1.2511e+01 6.8927e+00 1.8151 0.0702544 .
time2007 1.5670e+01 6.9309e+00 2.2609 0.0243009 *
time2008 2.5979e+01 7.0991e+00 3.6595 0.0002863 ***
time2009 3.3692e+01 7.1497e+00 4.7123 3.377e-06 ***
time2010 1.7555e+01 7.3262e+00 2.3961 0.0170243 *
time2011 2.0752e+01 7.2640e+00 2.8569 0.0044999 **
time2012 4.6862e+00 7.2703e+00 0.6446 0.5195763
time2013 3.8273e+00 7.1555e+00 0.5349 0.5930354
time2014 -4.1481e+00 7.1213e+00 -0.5825 0.5605669
time2015 9.9036e+00 7.0700e+00 1.4008 0.1620442
time2016 7.3964e+00 7.1236e+00 1.0383 0.2997540
time2017 3.5043e+00 7.1834e+00 0.4878 0.6259388
time2018 1.5127e+01 7.1295e+00 2.1217 0.0344733 *
time2019 -2.3728e+00 7.2314e+00 -0.3281 0.7429833
iis131 1.1015e+02 2.6579e+01 4.1444 4.155e-05 ***
iis133 -3.1693e+02 2.7975e+01 -11.3290 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis312 1.7627e+02 2.7475e+01 6.4157 3.938e-10 ***
iis313 3.4084e+02 3.0345e+01 11.2324 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 3.7725e+02 3.3527e+01 11.2522 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -1.4049e+02 3.0323e+01 -4.6333 4.867e-06 ***
iis321 -7.8699e+01 2.5376e+01 -3.1013 0.0020621 **
iis339 2.8097e+02 2.5623e+01 10.9654 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 2.1198e+02 2.6375e+01 8.0371 1.030e-14 ***
iis465 9.1692e+01 2.8077e+01 3.2658 0.0011850 **
fesisCHN.2015 1.2124e+02 2.3125e+01 5.2429 2.557e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -1.4532e+02 3.2322e+01 -4.4961 9.062e-06 ***
fesisDEU.2014 1.1780e+02 2.8877e+01 4.0794 5.444e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -1.2170e+02 3.2556e+01 -3.7380 0.0002123 ***
fesisKOR.2007 1.4073e+02 2.8320e+01 4.9692 9.959e-07 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -1.4691e+02 2.7400e+01 -5.3616 1.392e-07 ***
tisCHN.2008 8.3119e+00 2.6174e+00 3.1756 0.0016100 **
tisDEU.2007 1.0057e+02 1.0683e+01 9.4143 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -1.4456e+02 1.8574e+01 -7.7825 6.043e-14 ***
tisDEU.2013 3.6251e+01 1.1405e+01 3.1785 0.0015948 **
tisJPN.2007 4.5225e+01 8.4764e+00 5.3354 1.593e-07 ***
tisJPN.2011 -5.8753e+01 1.1380e+01 -5.1628 3.830e-07 ***
tisKOR.2010 -3.4825e+01 6.5089e+00 -5.3504 1.475e-07 ***
tisKOR.2016 2.5359e+01 9.0126e+00 2.8137 0.0051370 **
tisUSA.2005 1.3162e+02 1.0802e+01 12.1845 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2007 -1.4227e+02 1.2194e+01 -11.6677 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 27.224 1 1.812e-07 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 61.127 1 5.329e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 22.48286
R-squared 0.99335
Log-lik.(n=475) -2116.55357 Log Count Solar
0.001
Formula: log_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:02:58 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.398701 0.038509 10.3535 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.353020 0.179744 7.5275 3.148e-13 ***
lpop -1.840551 0.594832 -3.0942 0.0021041 **
idAUT 0.032188 0.510853 0.0630 0.9497892
idBEL 0.120946 0.383144 0.3157 0.7524116
idBRA 1.161366 1.228955 0.9450 0.3451968
idCAN 0.539587 0.270605 1.9940 0.0467937 *
idCHE -0.686537 0.561299 -1.2231 0.2219641
idCHN 3.867539 2.224651 1.7385 0.0828517 .
idDEU 2.811572 0.758838 3.7051 0.0002394 ***
idDNK -3.683211 0.856898 -4.2983 2.138e-05 ***
idESP 0.714700 0.505992 1.4125 0.1585455
idFIN -0.780919 0.744818 -1.0485 0.2950207
idFRA 2.106704 0.634106 3.3223 0.0009703 ***
idGBR 2.027296 0.626669 3.2350 0.0013118 **
idIND 1.702343 2.147478 0.7927 0.4283869
idISR -1.387493 0.603983 -2.2972 0.0220928 *
idITA 1.858922 0.593570 3.1318 0.0018583 **
idJPN -2.971472 1.038962 -2.8600 0.0044456 **
idKOR -6.417194 1.046749 -6.1306 2.009e-09 ***
idNLD 0.606974 0.196191 3.0938 0.0021072 **
idNOR -4.640493 0.973573 -4.7665 2.583e-06 ***
idRUS -2.977049 1.090708 -2.7295 0.0066084 **
idSGP -1.471850 0.801698 -1.8359 0.0670719 .
idSWE -3.409175 0.618021 -5.5163 6.041e-08 ***
idTWN 1.218204 0.162329 7.5045 3.674e-13 ***
idUSA 3.287994 1.428295 2.3020 0.0218178 *
time2001 -5.170926 8.766871 -0.5898 0.5556224
time2002 -5.176326 8.769946 -0.5902 0.5553485
time2003 -4.987580 8.772810 -0.5685 0.5699789
time2004 -5.010837 8.777272 -0.5709 0.5683789
time2005 -4.839550 8.780878 -0.5511 0.5818242
time2006 -4.700902 8.786330 -0.5350 0.5929140
time2007 -4.447890 8.788561 -0.5061 0.6130502
time2008 -4.254320 8.792594 -0.4839 0.6287408
time2009 -4.085083 8.796126 -0.4644 0.6425869
time2010 -4.219362 8.799409 -0.4795 0.6318271
time2011 -4.262326 8.802923 -0.4842 0.6284985
time2012 -4.302948 8.806869 -0.4886 0.6253852
time2013 -4.559931 8.810808 -0.5175 0.6050509
time2014 -4.560714 8.814943 -0.5174 0.6051583
time2015 -4.654326 8.818818 -0.5278 0.5979343
time2016 -4.613773 8.822880 -0.5229 0.6012948
time2017 -4.662258 8.826173 -0.5282 0.5976160
time2018 -4.735557 8.829365 -0.5363 0.5920043
time2019 -4.909931 8.832473 -0.5559 0.5785763
iis325 -1.322652 0.352605 -3.7511 0.0002006 ***
iis405 -1.881448 0.354605 -5.3058 1.814e-07 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.801756 0.171217 4.6827 3.820e-06 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.163528 0.257955 4.5106 8.386e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2002 1.494177 0.417930 3.5752 0.0003904 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.410778 0.264313 -5.3375 1.540e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.9774 1 0.08444 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 17.1032 1 3.54e-05 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.33394
R-squared 0.96041
Log-lik.(n=475) -127.02371 0.01
Formula: log_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:04:32 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.312381 0.038669 8.0784 7.254e-15 ***
lgdp 1.458843 0.160058 9.1145 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -1.352996 0.540665 -2.5025 0.0127178 *
idAUT 0.132821 0.465516 0.2853 0.7755415
idBEL 0.063618 0.354740 0.1793 0.8577598
idBRA -0.647412 1.181349 -0.5480 0.5839680
idCAN -0.185285 0.308754 -0.6001 0.5487642
idCHE -0.574242 0.507013 -1.1326 0.2580380
idCHN 1.114094 2.086113 0.5341 0.5935918
idDEU 1.795525 0.726772 2.4705 0.0138926 *
idDNK -3.530133 0.758225 -4.6558 4.354e-06 ***
idESP -0.146413 0.499238 -0.2933 0.7694602
idFIN -0.509943 0.671687 -0.7592 0.4481667
idFRA 1.129041 0.619312 1.8231 0.0690156 .
idGBR 1.057841 0.612349 1.7275 0.0848212 .
idIND -1.227427 2.032574 -0.6039 0.5462553
idISR -1.327227 0.540856 -2.4539 0.0145412 *
idITA 0.904339 0.583823 1.5490 0.1221469
idJPN -4.685705 1.007439 -4.6511 4.448e-06 ***
idKOR -8.263663 0.990297 -8.3446 1.077e-15 ***
idNLD 0.341156 0.210510 1.6206 0.1058615
idNOR -4.549262 0.858284 -5.3004 1.883e-07 ***
idRUS -4.785925 1.000190 -4.7850 2.383e-06 ***
idSGP -1.204547 0.719477 -1.6742 0.0948470 .
idSWE -3.665945 0.546676 -6.7059 6.583e-11 ***
idTWN 0.224732 0.234590 0.9580 0.3386332
idUSA 1.497047 1.345387 1.1127 0.2664717
time2001 -15.640565 8.189435 -1.9098 0.0568438 .
time2002 -15.601465 8.190948 -1.9047 0.0575092 .
time2003 -15.447646 8.193064 -1.8855 0.0600685 .
time2004 -15.411509 8.194928 -1.8806 0.0607260 .
time2005 -15.262780 8.196822 -1.8620 0.0633063 .
time2006 -15.150008 8.202301 -1.8470 0.0654542 .
time2007 -14.884802 8.203517 -1.8144 0.0703334 .
time2008 -14.660524 8.205063 -1.7868 0.0747070 .
time2009 -14.462412 8.206258 -1.7624 0.0787457 .
time2010 -14.543607 8.208123 -1.7719 0.0771540 .
time2011 -14.632739 8.211668 -1.7819 0.0754911 .
time2012 -14.637647 8.215698 -1.7817 0.0755363 .
time2013 -14.948855 8.219530 -1.8187 0.0696796 .
time2014 -14.979992 8.225094 -1.8213 0.0692897 .
time2015 -15.085883 8.229158 -1.8332 0.0674872 .
time2016 -15.015996 8.234168 -1.8236 0.0689303 .
time2017 -15.117117 8.236882 -1.8353 0.0671790 .
time2018 -15.199086 8.240143 -1.8445 0.0658220 .
time2019 -15.348787 8.244768 -1.8616 0.0633623 .
iis67 -0.989649 0.318235 -3.1098 0.0020015 **
iis156 -1.154071 0.315031 -3.6634 0.0002812 ***
iis164 -1.090977 0.314603 -3.4678 0.0005797 ***
iis187 -1.149016 0.315454 -3.6424 0.0003044 ***
iis325 -1.054703 0.336171 -3.1374 0.0018264 **
iis363 -1.157198 0.315657 -3.6660 0.0002784 ***
iis382 1.411411 0.320317 4.4063 1.341e-05 ***
iis383 1.250861 0.321435 3.8915 0.0001161 ***
iis405 -1.747999 0.318919 -5.4810 7.363e-08 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.608838 0.179486 -3.3921 0.0007602 ***
fesisBRA.2014 0.795849 0.156252 5.0934 5.354e-07 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.283113 0.232685 5.5144 6.173e-08 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.909092 0.317121 -2.8667 0.0043594 **
fesisTWN.2006 0.794330 0.170100 4.6698 4.081e-06 ***
tisKOR.2003 0.047380 0.014920 3.1757 0.0016065 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.61145 1 0.43424
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 5.78380 1 0.01617 *
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.29943
R-squared 0.96885
Log-lik.(n=475) -70.70645 Ihs Count Solar
0.001
Formula: ihs_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:06:25 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.359627 0.038279 9.3949 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.582121 0.192875 8.2028 2.863e-15 ***
lpop -1.974511 0.641545 -3.0777 0.0022218 **
idAUT 0.227480 0.556065 0.4091 0.6826824
idBEL 0.295350 0.417385 0.7076 0.4795718
idBRA 0.879601 1.333818 0.6595 0.5099597
idCAN 0.553550 0.293001 1.8892 0.0595446 .
idCHE -0.614563 0.608995 -1.0091 0.3134847
idCHN 3.701105 2.410459 1.5354 0.1254263
idDEU 2.945242 0.816463 3.6073 0.0003464 ***
idDNK -3.959734 0.921535 -4.2969 2.152e-05 ***
idESP 0.687705 0.546184 1.2591 0.2086874
idFIN -0.645952 0.808358 -0.7991 0.4246874
idFRA 2.223650 0.683628 3.2527 0.0012349 **
idGBR 2.163178 0.675609 3.2018 0.0014690 **
idIND 1.282423 2.332706 0.5498 0.5827766
idISR -1.438526 0.652884 -2.2033 0.0281103 *
idITA 1.983971 0.640201 3.0990 0.0020718 **
idJPN -3.939030 1.136217 -3.4668 0.0005807 ***
idKOR -7.852038 1.135329 -6.9161 1.728e-11 ***
idNLD 0.761970 0.214122 3.5586 0.0004152 ***
idNOR -5.060908 1.044341 -4.8460 1.773e-06 ***
idRUS -4.019859 1.192178 -3.3719 0.0008155 ***
idSGP -1.449361 0.868159 -1.6695 0.0957669 .
idSWE -3.804894 0.661543 -5.7515 1.700e-08 ***
idTWN 1.364995 0.173753 7.8559 3.325e-14 ***
idUSA 3.221329 1.544555 2.0856 0.0376148 *
time2001 -8.848104 9.554214 -0.9261 0.3549262
time2002 -8.839896 9.558507 -0.9248 0.3555882
time2003 -8.620278 9.560441 -0.9017 0.3677512
time2004 -8.597006 9.564373 -0.8989 0.3692413
time2005 -8.463857 9.568681 -0.8845 0.3769098
time2006 -8.317260 9.574412 -0.8687 0.3855068
time2007 -8.038042 9.576681 -0.8393 0.4017566
time2008 -7.826746 9.580433 -0.8170 0.4144173
time2009 -7.629635 9.583699 -0.7961 0.4264184
time2010 -7.777981 9.587030 -0.8113 0.4176493
time2011 -7.814980 9.590932 -0.8148 0.4156291
time2012 -7.856431 9.595228 -0.8188 0.4133711
time2013 -8.133788 9.599563 -0.8473 0.3973037
time2014 -8.150629 9.604513 -0.8486 0.3965711
time2015 -8.256115 9.608810 -0.8592 0.3907051
time2016 -8.215976 9.613397 -0.8546 0.3932364
time2017 -8.275362 9.617006 -0.8605 0.3900062
time2018 -8.353745 9.620558 -0.8683 0.3857115
time2019 -8.543627 9.624044 -0.8877 0.3751875
iis156 -1.469380 0.381086 -3.8558 0.0001333 ***
iis363 -1.595195 0.381734 -4.1788 3.564e-05 ***
iis405 -2.349127 0.385685 -6.0908 2.531e-09 ***
fesisBRA.2014 1.049074 0.187546 5.5937 4.003e-08 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.371226 0.280053 4.8963 1.393e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2002 1.951239 0.454190 4.2961 2.160e-05 ***
fesisRUS.2004 -1.609336 0.286117 -5.6247 3.387e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.38827 1 0.5332
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 19.74925 1 8.83e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36288
R-squared 0.95822
Log-lik.(n=475) -165.99989 0.01
Formula: ihs_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:06:25 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.238273 0.037450 6.3625 5.300e-10 ***
lgdp 1.800218 0.168397 10.6903 < 2.2e-16 ***
lpop -0.887766 0.632287 -1.4041 0.1610575
idAUT 0.938374 0.563596 1.6650 0.0966796 .
idBEL 0.668223 0.424694 1.5734 0.1163900
idBRA -2.599006 1.405347 -1.8494 0.0651222 .
idCAN -0.573978 0.356482 -1.6101 0.1081402
idCHE 0.100512 0.604313 0.1663 0.8679837
idCHN -1.971652 2.522537 -0.7816 0.4348910
idDEU 1.029173 0.861598 1.1945 0.2329738
idDNK -3.247654 0.868626 -3.7388 0.0002111 ***
idESP -0.728188 0.561125 -1.2977 0.1951084
idFIN 0.196750 0.812862 0.2420 0.8088654
idFRA 0.475364 0.729229 0.6519 0.5148477
idGBR 0.450332 0.717181 0.6279 0.5304060
idIND -4.708030 2.473606 -1.9033 0.0576989 .
idISR -0.820380 0.633802 -1.2944 0.1962611
idITA 0.318345 0.682611 0.4664 0.6412026
idJPN -7.374432 1.241389 -5.9405 6.062e-09 ***
idKOR -10.987921 1.112277 -9.8788 < 2.2e-16 ***
idNLD 0.638235 0.232279 2.7477 0.0062655 **
idNOR -4.399337 0.974231 -4.5157 8.256e-06 ***
idRUS -7.323284 1.231584 -5.9462 5.868e-09 ***
idSGP -1.206106 0.961401 -1.2545 0.2103629
idSWE -3.816673 0.601477 -6.3455 5.862e-10 ***
idTWN 0.194654 0.246811 0.7887 0.4307569
idUSA -0.437310 1.629861 -0.2683 0.7885945
time2001 -32.226623 10.128015 -3.1819 0.0015741 **
time2002 -32.191880 10.131861 -3.1773 0.0015988 **
time2003 -32.036114 10.132329 -3.1618 0.0016844 **
time2004 -31.986353 10.134745 -3.1561 0.0017166 **
time2005 -31.829303 10.137014 -3.1399 0.0018120 **
time2006 -31.698882 10.142314 -3.1254 0.0019016 **
time2007 -31.420655 10.145613 -3.0970 0.0020891 **
time2008 -31.163321 10.147773 -3.0710 0.0022755 **
time2009 -30.922777 10.149184 -3.0468 0.0024619 **
time2010 -31.009653 10.151846 -3.0546 0.0024005 **
time2011 -31.103822 10.156155 -3.0626 0.0023388 **
time2012 -31.139319 10.161690 -3.0644 0.0023249 **
time2013 -31.479404 10.165967 -3.0965 0.0020921 **
time2014 -31.545308 10.172082 -3.1012 0.0020604 **
time2015 -31.669440 10.176680 -3.1120 0.0019882 **
time2016 -31.655273 10.181790 -3.1090 0.0020078 **
time2017 -31.725410 10.185580 -3.1147 0.0019701 **
time2018 -31.818056 10.189374 -3.1227 0.0019189 **
time2019 -31.986080 10.194555 -3.1376 0.0018262 **
iis67 -1.108390 0.331740 -3.3411 0.0009107 ***
iis156 -1.519066 0.328252 -4.6277 4.963e-06 ***
iis164 -1.167204 0.327806 -3.5607 0.0004132 ***
iis249 0.976152 0.334417 2.9190 0.0037050 **
iis325 -1.068254 0.350766 -3.0455 0.0024726 **
iis363 -1.600056 0.329453 -4.8567 1.700e-06 ***
iis382 1.544311 0.335181 4.6074 5.448e-06 ***
iis383 1.428748 0.334847 4.2669 2.463e-05 ***
iis405 -2.502711 0.343179 -7.2927 1.574e-12 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.757773 0.189725 -3.9941 7.695e-05 ***
fesisBRA.2014 1.104612 0.165565 6.6718 8.189e-11 ***
fesisESP.2003 1.464091 0.242386 6.0403 3.446e-09 ***
fesisFIN.2012 0.720794 0.153065 4.7091 3.409e-06 ***
fesisRUS.2019 -0.989851 0.330817 -2.9921 0.0029372 **
fesisSGP.2003 1.517473 0.288695 5.2563 2.367e-07 ***
fesisTWN.2006 0.934533 0.176818 5.2853 2.042e-07 ***
tisKOR.2003 0.054186 0.015444 3.5086 0.0005002 ***
tisSGP.2002 -0.048821 0.018520 -2.6361 0.0087050 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.3284 1 0.2490840
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 11.0955 1 0.0008654 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.31196
R-squared 0.96993
Log-lik.(n=475) -88.67188 Max Count Solar
0.001
Formula: max_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:09:20 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.5986773 0.0223300 26.8105 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0369034 0.0081368 4.5353 7.561e-06 ***
lpop -0.0830983 0.0282177 -2.9449 0.0034146 **
idAUT -0.0257071 0.0238842 -1.0763 0.2824144
idBEL -0.0122753 0.0178493 -0.6877 0.4920195
idBRA 0.1412495 0.0587115 2.4058 0.0165779 *
idCAN 0.0317092 0.0127165 2.4936 0.0130404 *
idCHE -0.0501582 0.0264204 -1.8985 0.0583368 .
idCHN 0.2576851 0.1056964 2.4380 0.0151937 *
idDEU 0.1414638 0.0373513 3.7874 0.0001750 ***
idDNK -0.1304443 0.0400311 -3.2586 0.0012130 **
idESP 0.0759478 0.0227340 3.3407 0.0009122 ***
idFIN -0.0509078 0.0349136 -1.4581 0.1455761
idFRA 0.0977005 0.0299454 3.2626 0.0011963 **
idGBR 0.0894904 0.0295867 3.0247 0.0026455 **
idIND 0.1854673 0.1013700 1.8296 0.0680348 .
idISR -0.0698334 0.0284849 -2.4516 0.0146390 *
idITA 0.0850684 0.0280757 3.0300 0.0026007 **
idJPN 0.0163000 0.0499567 0.3263 0.7443764
idKOR -0.1634292 0.0474679 -3.4429 0.0006346 ***
idNLD 0.0087618 0.0088718 0.9876 0.3239298
idNOR -0.1561414 0.0453497 -3.4430 0.0006344 ***
idRUS 0.0047185 0.0461418 0.1023 0.9185991
idSGP -0.0738296 0.0377123 -1.9577 0.0509427 .
idSWE -0.1100119 0.0286107 -3.8451 0.0001396 ***
idTWN 0.0461709 0.0072030 6.4100 4.006e-10 ***
idUSA 0.1860158 0.0675243 2.7548 0.0061344 **
time2001 0.3711042 0.4099483 0.9052 0.3658665
time2002 0.3698524 0.4101174 0.9018 0.3676815
time2003 0.3729146 0.4102564 0.9090 0.3638950
time2004 0.3745230 0.4104219 0.9125 0.3620251
time2005 0.3769698 0.4105928 0.9181 0.3591005
time2006 0.3782220 0.4107828 0.9207 0.3577304
time2007 0.3795649 0.4110237 0.9235 0.3563094
time2008 0.3867788 0.4113098 0.9404 0.3475872
time2009 0.3956472 0.4115925 0.9613 0.3369883
time2010 0.3885015 0.4118482 0.9433 0.3460767
time2011 0.3897670 0.4120350 0.9460 0.3447281
time2012 0.3802786 0.4122482 0.9225 0.3568361
time2013 0.3794132 0.4124096 0.9200 0.3581184
time2014 0.3745694 0.4125812 0.9079 0.3644811
time2015 0.3813004 0.4127516 0.9238 0.3561332
time2016 0.3792074 0.4129576 0.9183 0.3590164
time2017 0.3755772 0.4131362 0.9091 0.3638377
time2018 0.3793407 0.4132952 0.9178 0.3592399
time2019 0.3712153 0.4134461 0.8979 0.3697890
iis133 -0.2980657 0.0204623 -14.5666 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis312 -0.1099947 0.0264755 -4.1546 3.968e-05 ***
iis339 0.1473067 0.0159723 9.2227 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis462 -0.1974944 0.0228251 -8.6525 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis463 -0.1629656 0.0196048 -8.3125 1.391e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.1320430 0.0158942 -8.3076 1.442e-15 ***
fesisJPN.2008 0.1638923 0.0442297 3.7055 0.0002399 ***
fesisUSA.2006 0.2629834 0.0354609 7.4161 6.987e-13 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -0.1015410 0.0156420 -6.4915 2.458e-10 ***
tisCHN.2015 0.0604863 0.0038672 15.6407 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2007 0.0728299 0.0061509 11.8406 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -0.0768857 0.0073532 -10.4560 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2007 0.0671500 0.0129320 5.1926 3.273e-07 ***
tisJPN.2011 -0.2266485 0.0171894 -13.1854 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisJPN.2013 0.1406943 0.0100314 14.0254 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2007 0.0860887 0.0056694 15.1849 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -0.0943781 0.0063197 -14.9339 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.0617753 0.0166195 3.7170 0.0002296 ***
tisUSA.2007 -0.0821793 0.0168175 -4.8865 1.475e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.40607 1 0.524
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 41.73911 1 1.043e-10 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.01455
R-squared 0.99278
Log-lik.(n=475) 1367.84264 0.01
Formula: max_count_solar~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:09:20 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7991460 0.0173549 46.0473 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0189736 0.0073738 2.5731 0.0104386 *
lpop -0.0374433 0.0252439 -1.4833 0.1387925
idAUT -0.0080600 0.0212565 -0.3792 0.7047579
idBEL -0.0027264 0.0158844 -0.1716 0.8638072
idBRA 0.0611391 0.0524666 1.1653 0.2445936
idCAN 0.0140183 0.0113569 1.2343 0.2177984
idCHE -0.0204754 0.0235520 -0.8694 0.3851658
idCHN 0.1147154 0.0943148 1.2163 0.2245870
idDEU 0.0741720 0.0332955 2.2277 0.0264567 *
idDNK -0.0598535 0.0358100 -1.6714 0.0954215 .
idESP 0.0354315 0.0203764 1.7388 0.0828306 .
idFIN -0.0185827 0.0310747 -0.5980 0.5501782
idFRA 0.0453185 0.0267226 1.6959 0.0906847 .
idGBR 0.0404666 0.0264403 1.5305 0.1266852
idIND 0.0742397 0.0903669 0.8215 0.4118306
idISR -0.0298526 0.0254321 -1.1738 0.2411667
idITA 0.0385525 0.0250954 1.5362 0.1252708
idJPN 0.0016992 0.0445633 0.0381 0.9696025
idKOR -0.0839416 0.0428435 -1.9593 0.0507764 .
idNLD 0.0062703 0.0079146 0.7922 0.4286901
idNOR -0.0723663 0.0406073 -1.7821 0.0754912 .
idRUS -0.0076031 0.0410874 -0.1850 0.8532850
idSGP -0.0301122 0.0335913 -0.8964 0.3705631
idSWE -0.0521032 0.0256663 -2.0300 0.0430158 *
idTWN 0.0243817 0.0064111 3.8031 0.0001652 ***
idUSA 0.0857060 0.0600667 1.4268 0.1544044
time2001 0.1014571 0.3649482 0.2780 0.7811529
time2002 0.1000030 0.3650978 0.2739 0.7842970
time2003 0.1032423 0.3652214 0.2827 0.7775652
time2004 0.1045965 0.3653665 0.2863 0.7748132
time2005 0.1055798 0.3655099 0.2889 0.7728411
time2006 0.1072934 0.3656674 0.2934 0.7693548
time2007 0.1100701 0.3658889 0.3008 0.7637010
time2008 0.1142591 0.3661662 0.3120 0.7551715
time2009 0.1204262 0.3664045 0.3287 0.7425770
time2010 0.1100366 0.3666194 0.3001 0.7642274
time2011 0.1115223 0.3667756 0.3041 0.7612391
time2012 0.1040444 0.3669614 0.2835 0.7769175
time2013 0.1031700 0.3671179 0.2810 0.7788350
time2014 0.0977482 0.3672781 0.2661 0.7902668
time2015 0.1067018 0.3674470 0.2904 0.7716708
time2016 0.1032764 0.3676254 0.2809 0.7789107
time2017 0.1030662 0.3677682 0.2802 0.7794324
time2018 0.1052055 0.3679051 0.2860 0.7750580
time2019 0.0979405 0.3680426 0.2661 0.7902902
iis130 0.0522271 0.0187391 2.7871 0.0055723 **
iis131 0.1144837 0.0189487 6.0418 3.491e-09 ***
iis132 0.0824370 0.0194930 4.2291 2.911e-05 ***
iis133 -0.1409012 0.0199725 -7.0548 7.662e-12 ***
iis312 0.1111929 0.0158268 7.0256 9.229e-12 ***
iis313 0.2100598 0.0175275 11.9846 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis314 0.2346339 0.0193497 12.1260 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis316 -0.0872872 0.0174866 -4.9917 8.951e-07 ***
iis321 -0.0508787 0.0146339 -3.4768 0.0005632 ***
iis340 -0.1564719 0.0159692 -9.7983 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.1345923 0.0152019 8.8536 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 0.0600573 0.0162419 3.6977 0.0002479 ***
fesisCHN.2015 0.0618896 0.0142951 4.3294 1.892e-05 ***
fesisDEU.2012 -0.0943098 0.0186441 -5.0584 6.453e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2014 0.0727757 0.0166607 4.3681 1.599e-05 ***
fesisJPN.2012 -0.0796846 0.0187712 -4.2450 2.720e-05 ***
fesisKOR.2012 -0.0647557 0.0190695 -3.3958 0.0007528 ***
fesisKOR.2016 0.2390779 0.0203125 11.7700 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2011 -0.0907371 0.0158297 -5.7321 1.956e-08 ***
tisDEU.2007 0.0634378 0.0061781 10.2682 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2009 -0.0909005 0.0107092 -8.4881 4.149e-16 ***
tisDEU.2013 0.0228246 0.0065712 3.4734 0.0005700 ***
tisJPN.2007 0.0298372 0.0049566 6.0196 3.957e-09 ***
tisJPN.2011 -0.0378478 0.0066237 -5.7140 2.158e-08 ***
tisKOR.2007 0.0656230 0.0054586 12.0219 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisKOR.2009 -0.0708921 0.0083370 -8.5033 3.711e-16 ***
tisKOR.2016 -0.0619719 0.0073679 -8.4110 7.261e-16 ***
tisUSA.2005 0.0832929 0.0062776 13.2683 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisUSA.2007 -0.0900628 0.0070901 -12.7027 < 2.2e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 19.228 1 1.160e-05 ***
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 61.024 1 5.662e-15 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.01295
R-squared 0.99441
Log-lik.(n=475) 1428.08985 Wind
Count Wind
0.001
Formula: count_wind~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 16:59:47 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.1604e-01 2.1076e-02 33.9733 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 2.2114e-15 9.3010e-15 0.2378 0.8121860
pop 6.0825e-08 2.5907e-08 2.3478 0.0193543 *
idAUT 1.0865e+00 3.5196e+00 0.3087 0.7577139
idBEL 1.1487e-01 3.5137e+00 0.0327 0.9739364
idBRA -1.2185e+01 5.7159e+00 -2.1318 0.0336112 *
idCAN 2.1159e+00 3.5198e+00 0.6011 0.5480718
idCHE 3.2141e-01 3.5208e+00 0.0913 0.9273083
idCHN -6.1342e+01 3.4218e+01 -1.7927 0.0737513 .
idDEU 4.4213e+01 5.2582e+00 8.4083 6.783e-16 ***
idDNK 1.5302e+01 5.1613e+00 2.9648 0.0032037 **
idESP 9.2524e+00 3.6104e+00 2.5627 0.0107388 *
idFIN -1.3256e-01 3.5280e+00 -0.0376 0.9700463
idFRA 1.9965e+00 3.6742e+00 0.5434 0.5871583
idGBR 1.2122e+01 3.7421e+00 3.2393 0.0012950 **
idIND -7.1273e+01 3.1644e+01 -2.2523 0.0248261 *
idISR 2.4472e-02 3.5213e+00 0.0069 0.9944583
idITA 7.3972e-01 3.6295e+00 0.2038 0.8386070
idJPN 1.6370e+01 6.4941e+00 2.5208 0.0120828 *
idKOR 5.5594e+00 1.3534e+01 0.4108 0.6814399
idNLD 4.6113e+00 3.5163e+00 1.3114 0.1904408
idNOR 1.9339e+00 3.5306e+00 0.5478 0.5841548
idRUS -8.1573e+00 4.7478e+00 -1.7181 0.0865201 .
idSGP 1.5087e+00 3.5309e+00 0.4273 0.6693969
idSWE 7.7279e-01 3.5179e+00 0.2197 0.8262327
idTWN 1.4138e+00 3.5028e+00 0.4036 0.6866910
idUSA 5.0630e+00 8.5798e+00 0.5901 0.5554390
time2001 -2.6321e+00 3.2902e+00 -0.8000 0.4241756
time2002 -3.8981e+00 3.2858e+00 -1.1864 0.2361611
time2003 -2.8680e+00 3.2867e+00 -0.8726 0.3833879
time2004 -3.2738e+00 3.2863e+00 -0.9962 0.3197345
time2005 -2.2811e+00 3.2880e+00 -0.6938 0.4882235
time2006 3.6260e+00 3.2890e+00 1.1025 0.2708924
time2007 3.0715e+00 3.3202e+00 0.9251 0.3554494
time2008 1.0044e+01 3.3222e+00 3.0233 0.0026559 **
time2009 1.0073e+01 3.3403e+00 3.0156 0.0027227 **
time2010 7.9884e+00 3.3919e+00 2.3552 0.0189808 *
time2011 6.1863e+00 3.4027e+00 1.8181 0.0697755 .
time2012 7.4420e-01 3.3971e+00 0.2191 0.8267031
time2013 -2.7445e+00 3.3861e+00 -0.8105 0.4181117
time2014 -2.5685e-01 3.3456e+00 -0.0768 0.9388426
time2015 -1.5331e+00 3.3511e+00 -0.4575 0.6475544
time2016 8.3874e-01 3.3748e+00 0.2485 0.8038477
time2017 1.4977e+00 3.3931e+00 0.4414 0.6591583
time2018 -7.2930e-01 3.3813e+00 -0.2157 0.8293391
time2019 -2.7862e+00 3.4076e+00 -0.8176 0.4140430
iis162 4.1301e+01 1.2375e+01 3.3374 0.0009221 ***
iis463 1.1146e+02 1.1474e+01 9.7141 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 8.8399e+01 1.1497e+01 7.6886 1.093e-13 ***
iis465 1.5262e+02 1.1653e+01 13.0968 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 8.2730e+01 1.2306e+01 6.7230 5.921e-11 ***
iis469 8.2415e+01 1.1556e+01 7.1320 4.444e-12 ***
iis473 7.5056e+01 1.1439e+01 6.5614 1.595e-10 ***
fesisDEU.2010 1.7192e+02 1.3862e+01 12.4024 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2007 6.8680e+01 7.6274e+00 9.0043 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -8.7053e+01 1.0218e+01 -8.5197 3.005e-16 ***
tisDEU.2010 -5.6956e+01 4.5393e+00 -12.5472 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2014 9.3155e+01 7.8652e+00 11.8439 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2017 -5.7870e+01 7.9470e+00 -7.2820 1.671e-12 ***
tisDNK.2013 2.2367e+01 3.2823e+00 6.8145 3.352e-11 ***
tisDNK.2017 -3.5279e+01 6.9362e+00 -5.0862 5.549e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.5632 1 0.2112
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 22.4202 1 2.191e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 10.79338
R-squared 0.97691
Log-lik.(n=475) -1773.48911 0.01
Formula: count_wind~ gdp + pop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:01:20 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 7.7071e-01 2.3858e-02 32.3037 < 2.2e-16 ***
gdp 5.6835e-16 7.6914e-15 0.0739 0.9411311
pop 6.0162e-08 2.1343e-08 2.8188 0.0050587 **
idAUT 1.0722e+00 2.8869e+00 0.3714 0.7105428
idBEL 1.2364e-01 2.8820e+00 0.0429 0.9658012
idBRA -1.1779e+01 4.7071e+00 -2.5023 0.0127330 *
idCAN 1.5612e+00 2.8909e+00 0.5401 0.5894555
idCHE 3.9846e-01 2.8878e+00 0.1380 0.8903253
idCHN -6.2739e+01 2.8147e+01 -2.2290 0.0263671 *
idDEU 1.9540e+01 5.1927e+00 3.7629 0.0001929 ***
idDNK 8.5335e+00 4.4709e+00 1.9087 0.0570135 .
idESP 7.3944e+00 3.0078e+00 2.4584 0.0143764 *
idFIN 2.8589e-02 2.8938e+00 0.0099 0.9921226
idFRA 1.1965e+00 3.0194e+00 0.3963 0.6921146
idGBR 9.7183e+00 3.1410e+00 3.0940 0.0021123 **
idIND -7.0685e+01 2.6066e+01 -2.7118 0.0069789 **
idISR 1.2754e-01 2.8883e+00 0.0442 0.9647988
idITA 2.4928e-01 2.9788e+00 0.0837 0.9333493
idJPN 9.5991e+00 5.3918e+00 1.7803 0.0757759 .
idKOR 6.2113e+00 1.1140e+01 0.5576 0.5774578
idNLD 3.9125e+00 2.8923e+00 1.3527 0.1768983
idNOR 1.8542e+00 2.8962e+00 0.6402 0.5224112
idRUS -7.8308e+00 3.9081e+00 -2.0037 0.0457694 *
idSGP 1.3703e+00 2.8968e+00 0.4730 0.6364486
idSWE 6.7002e-01 2.8858e+00 0.2322 0.8165157
idTWN 1.2053e+00 2.8736e+00 0.4194 0.6751173
idUSA 7.3552e+00 7.2057e+00 1.0208 0.3079822
time2001 -1.1392e+00 2.7030e+00 -0.4215 0.6736483
time2002 -2.5633e+00 2.6983e+00 -0.9500 0.3426918
time2003 -1.5826e+00 2.6989e+00 -0.5864 0.5579423
time2004 -2.0819e+00 2.6984e+00 -0.7716 0.4408284
time2005 -1.4976e+00 2.7003e+00 -0.5546 0.5794703
time2006 2.6281e+00 2.7084e+00 0.9704 0.3324506
time2007 2.5719e+00 2.7479e+00 0.9360 0.3498584
time2008 6.9617e+00 2.7704e+00 2.5129 0.0123636 *
time2009 9.5554e+00 2.7547e+00 3.4688 0.0005793 ***
time2010 3.9092e+00 2.8394e+00 1.3768 0.1693427
time2011 5.5055e+00 2.8210e+00 1.9516 0.0516761 .
time2012 -8.1581e-01 2.8181e+00 -0.2895 0.7723574
time2013 -3.1978e+00 2.8032e+00 -1.1407 0.2546558
time2014 -3.7902e-01 2.7577e+00 -0.1374 0.8907509
time2015 -1.7208e+00 2.7615e+00 -0.6232 0.5335312
time2016 1.8096e-01 2.7869e+00 0.0649 0.9482582
time2017 1.6915e+00 2.7890e+00 0.6065 0.5445330
time2018 -3.9569e+00 2.8039e+00 -1.4112 0.1589531
time2019 -6.9125e-01 2.8122e+00 -0.2458 0.8059621
iis141 3.2060e+01 1.0460e+01 3.0651 0.0023226 **
iis143 5.4908e+01 1.7311e+01 3.1718 0.0016308 **
iis146 -5.2133e+01 1.2749e+01 -4.0890 5.231e-05 ***
iis149 4.5037e+01 1.0107e+01 4.4561 1.083e-05 ***
iis152 -8.5949e+01 1.3077e+01 -6.5727 1.532e-10 ***
iis159 4.4457e+01 9.7845e+00 4.5437 7.316e-06 ***
iis160 5.5147e+01 9.9881e+00 5.5212 6.042e-08 ***
iis162 5.4431e+01 1.0945e+01 4.9731 9.768e-07 ***
iis170 6.1503e+01 1.0777e+01 5.7068 2.234e-08 ***
iis314 6.4492e+01 9.3099e+00 6.9272 1.706e-11 ***
iis463 1.0909e+02 9.5910e+00 11.3743 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 8.7235e+01 9.7000e+00 8.9933 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 1.5009e+02 9.8168e+00 15.2890 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 8.2414e+01 1.0476e+01 7.8668 3.380e-14 ***
iis469 9.9705e+01 1.0670e+01 9.3443 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 7.5997e+01 1.0121e+01 7.5092 3.863e-13 ***
fesisDEU.2006 3.3256e+01 6.6732e+00 4.9834 9.292e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2010 7.5943e+01 2.2421e+01 3.3871 0.0007759 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -9.5861e+01 1.0947e+01 -8.7572 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisUSA.2015 3.8651e+01 1.1432e+01 3.3810 0.0007927 ***
tisDEU.2010 -2.8846e+01 6.8166e+00 -4.2316 2.875e-05 ***
tisDEU.2014 4.0246e+01 8.8139e+00 4.5663 6.606e-06 ***
tisDNK.2005 8.9969e+00 1.5149e+00 5.9389 6.204e-09 ***
tisDNK.2013 1.3525e+01 3.2845e+00 4.1177 4.644e-05 ***
tisDNK.2017 -4.4696e+01 5.8845e+00 -7.5957 2.159e-13 ***
tisUSA.2007 -4.6237e+00 1.2006e+00 -3.8510 0.0001368 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 0.23754 1 0.626
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 67.55761 1 2.22e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 8.85267
R-squared 0.98488
Log-lik.(n=475) -1673.83745 Log Count Wind
0.001
Formula: log_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:02:57 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.435682 0.040321 10.8053 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.885256 0.212562 4.1647 3.779e-05 ***
lpop -2.479985 0.787056 -3.1510 0.0017427 **
idAUT -0.902094 0.706254 -1.2773 0.2021971
idBEL -0.542961 0.529900 -1.0246 0.3061132
idBRA 4.184654 1.655768 2.5273 0.0118562 *
idCAN 1.390875 0.365820 3.8021 0.0001645 ***
idCHE -1.832911 0.764653 -2.3970 0.0169597 *
idCHN 8.221432 3.029722 2.7136 0.0069271 **
idDEU 4.518813 1.034076 4.3699 1.565e-05 ***
idDNK -2.073805 1.087550 -1.9069 0.0572144 .
idESP 3.004352 0.641155 4.6858 3.762e-06 ***
idFIN -2.032334 1.027283 -1.9784 0.0485352 *
idFRA 2.984134 0.848487 3.5170 0.0004836 ***
idGBR 3.524262 0.845530 4.1681 3.725e-05 ***
idIND 6.686304 2.937598 2.2761 0.0233372 *
idISR -2.450677 0.811263 -3.0208 0.0026735 **
idITA 2.758630 0.789903 3.4924 0.0005291 ***
idJPN 0.547016 1.430902 0.3823 0.7024397
idKOR -3.190380 1.307465 -2.4401 0.0150908 *
idNLD 0.588891 0.265346 2.2193 0.0269925 *
idNOR -4.170897 1.244040 -3.3527 0.0008721 ***
idRUS 1.088998 1.376518 0.7911 0.4293135
idSGP -3.073605 1.186561 -2.5903 0.0099182 **
idSWE -2.846897 0.768690 -3.7036 0.0002407 ***
idTWN 0.762460 0.188805 4.0384 6.389e-05 ***
idUSA 6.125570 1.956446 3.1310 0.0018629 **
time2001 17.685391 12.145404 1.4561 0.1460944
time2002 17.832939 12.150448 1.4677 0.1429332
time2003 17.667713 12.155660 1.4535 0.1468370
time2004 17.904711 12.160952 1.4723 0.1416786
time2005 17.993918 12.167185 1.4789 0.1399125
time2006 18.255015 12.173798 1.4995 0.1344795
time2007 18.343216 12.177544 1.5063 0.1327310
time2008 18.549501 12.185632 1.5222 0.1286935
time2009 18.703725 12.192501 1.5340 0.1257668
time2010 18.596914 12.198875 1.5245 0.1281349
time2011 18.610024 12.203999 1.5249 0.1280266
time2012 18.477010 12.207622 1.5136 0.1308816
time2013 18.277440 12.212460 1.4966 0.1352356
time2014 18.322840 12.217017 1.4998 0.1344156
time2015 18.171069 12.222034 1.4867 0.1378250
time2016 18.319674 12.226845 1.4983 0.1347953
time2017 18.411261 12.231775 1.5052 0.1330174
time2018 18.185700 12.236629 1.4862 0.1379776
time2019 18.152908 12.240329 1.4830 0.1388064
iis21 -1.804391 0.431006 -4.1865 3.447e-05 ***
iis44 -1.796635 0.427109 -4.2065 3.167e-05 ***
iis116 -1.656501 0.445053 -3.7220 0.0002243 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.424965 0.273931 5.2019 3.077e-07 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.206606 0.247488 -4.8754 1.538e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.9428 1 0.1634
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.2089 1 0.1372
SE of regression 0.40720
R-squared 0.92249
Log-lik.(n=475) -221.73621 0.01
Formula: log_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:02:55 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.407765 0.037984 10.7350 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.999592 0.196925 5.0760 5.841e-07 ***
lpop -2.809288 0.746776 -3.7619 0.0001930 ***
idAUT 0.598378 0.792582 0.7550 0.4506954
idBEL 0.050035 0.585415 0.0855 0.9319300
idBRA 5.407699 1.663518 3.2508 0.0012453 **
idCAN 2.233875 0.534116 4.1824 3.525e-05 ***
idCHE -1.374385 0.769661 -1.7857 0.0748810 .
idCHN 9.916709 2.951973 3.3593 0.0008539 ***
idDEU 5.666111 1.088389 5.2060 3.049e-07 ***
idDNK -2.297394 1.057920 -2.1716 0.0304533 *
idESP 4.022477 0.744624 5.4020 1.115e-07 ***
idFIN -1.658485 0.997790 -1.6622 0.0972399 .
idFRA 4.028575 0.926603 4.3477 1.735e-05 ***
idGBR 4.597672 0.922138 4.9859 9.096e-07 ***
idIND 8.258727 2.867482 2.8801 0.0041820 **
idISR -1.996624 0.806041 -2.4771 0.0136457 *
idITA 3.786576 0.875373 4.3257 1.909e-05 ***
idJPN 1.221946 1.433688 0.8523 0.3945360
idKOR -2.967957 1.280834 -2.3172 0.0209806 *
idNLD 1.314198 0.425633 3.0876 0.0021537 **
idNOR -4.037727 1.188293 -3.3979 0.0007449 ***
idRUS 1.893611 1.400816 1.3518 0.1771821
idSGP -2.724529 1.137754 -2.3947 0.0170808 *
idSWE -2.596916 0.773783 -3.3561 0.0008636 ***
idTWN 1.535711 0.413911 3.7102 0.0002354 ***
idUSA 7.499426 1.940295 3.8651 0.0001289 ***
time2001 19.340282 11.511956 1.6800 0.0937102 .
time2002 19.472304 11.515388 1.6910 0.0915948 .
time2003 19.410896 11.524605 1.6843 0.0928792 .
time2004 19.541924 11.526655 1.6954 0.0907593 .
time2005 19.729351 11.530487 1.7111 0.0878210 .
time2006 19.966091 11.537060 1.7306 0.0842692 .
time2007 20.059666 11.540155 1.7382 0.0829122 .
time2008 20.277597 11.547258 1.7561 0.0798206 .
time2009 20.447193 11.553258 1.7698 0.0774948 .
time2010 20.345332 11.558856 1.7602 0.0791224 .
time2011 20.358220 11.563663 1.7605 0.0790574 .
time2012 20.227738 11.566982 1.7487 0.0810775 .
time2013 20.023861 11.571855 1.7304 0.0843070 .
time2014 20.061307 11.576625 1.7329 0.0838572 .
time2015 19.854520 11.581145 1.7144 0.0872086 .
time2016 20.051012 11.586368 1.7306 0.0842756 .
time2017 20.123621 11.591057 1.7361 0.0832860 .
time2018 19.881245 11.595582 1.7146 0.0871773 .
time2019 19.922061 11.599266 1.7175 0.0866324 .
iis21 -1.657629 0.389834 -4.2521 2.621e-05 ***
iis44 -1.782922 0.386483 -4.6132 5.298e-06 ***
iis72 1.327532 0.384942 3.4487 0.0006213 ***
iis116 -1.558839 0.402247 -3.8753 0.0001238 ***
iis194 1.377774 0.386066 3.5688 0.0004008 ***
iis269 -1.222424 0.391349 -3.1236 0.0019123 **
iis382 1.086931 0.392489 2.7693 0.0058703 **
iis419 1.337165 0.387497 3.4508 0.0006166 ***
fesisAUS.2002 1.511781 0.433356 3.4885 0.0005379 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -0.937249 0.244506 -3.8332 0.0001462 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.004839 0.387249 -2.5948 0.0098011 **
fesisDNK.2006 0.693179 0.200614 3.4553 0.0006066 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.464452 0.248526 5.8926 7.900e-09 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.226129 0.224257 -5.4675 7.915e-08 ***
tisBEL.2017 0.492547 0.177244 2.7789 0.0057029 **
tisBEL.2019 -2.454481 0.633391 -3.8751 0.0001239 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.5281 1 0.21639
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 2.7614 1 0.09656 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.36671
R-squared 0.93877
Log-lik.(n=475) -166.48120 Ihs Count Wind
0.001
Formula: ihs_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:06:22 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.378752 0.040342 9.3886 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 1.104107 0.245258 4.5018 8.728e-06 ***
lpop -2.440256 0.924873 -2.6385 0.0086360 **
idAUT 0.488840 0.901629 0.5422 0.5879845
idBEL 0.780447 0.733164 1.0645 0.2877147
idBRA 4.742186 2.065571 2.2958 0.0221755 *
idCAN 2.441243 0.671579 3.6351 0.0003122 ***
idCHE -0.617551 0.958573 -0.6442 0.5197702
idCHN 8.455450 3.661312 2.3094 0.0214032 *
idDEU 5.606163 1.350667 4.1507 4.012e-05 ***
idDNK -0.836785 1.306504 -0.6405 0.5222105
idESP 4.216581 0.928617 4.5407 7.325e-06 ***
idFIN -0.635323 1.240252 -0.5123 0.6087416
idFRA 3.992792 1.154041 3.4598 0.0005955 ***
idGBR 4.633299 1.147404 4.0381 6.402e-05 ***
idIND 6.651027 3.558093 1.8693 0.0622780 .
idISR -1.386060 1.005581 -1.3784 0.1688204
idITA 3.776845 1.090925 3.4621 0.0005908 ***
idJPN 0.426876 1.790828 0.2384 0.8117115
idKOR -3.571146 1.603787 -2.2267 0.0264947 *
idNLD 1.892154 0.538553 3.5134 0.0004902 ***
idNOR -3.225820 1.473765 -2.1888 0.0291566 *
idRUS 1.122405 1.747086 0.6424 0.5209339
idSGP -1.924472 1.415146 -1.3599 0.1745843
idSWE -1.988779 0.961502 -2.0684 0.0392103 *
idTWN 1.894061 0.524522 3.6110 0.0003417 ***
idUSA 6.757104 2.406951 2.8073 0.0052270 **
time2001 10.238593 14.292254 0.7164 0.4741570
time2002 10.357725 14.298320 0.7244 0.4692207
time2003 10.143151 14.304082 0.7091 0.4786485
time2004 10.450837 14.310294 0.7303 0.4656108
time2005 10.605283 14.314515 0.7409 0.4591805
time2006 10.898854 14.321865 0.7610 0.4470856
time2007 11.001809 14.325721 0.7680 0.4429310
time2008 11.232697 14.334505 0.7836 0.4337071
time2009 11.423791 14.341822 0.7965 0.4261679
time2010 11.309936 14.348783 0.7882 0.4310131
time2011 11.325398 14.354768 0.7890 0.4305760
time2012 11.189073 14.358876 0.7792 0.4362726
time2013 10.949955 14.364969 0.7623 0.4463260
time2014 10.984918 14.370949 0.7644 0.4450659
time2015 10.787457 14.377042 0.7503 0.4534770
time2016 10.962147 14.383098 0.7622 0.4463934
time2017 11.049256 14.388804 0.7679 0.4429722
time2018 10.804312 14.394253 0.7506 0.4533123
time2019 10.743104 14.398971 0.7461 0.4560211
iis21 -2.221501 0.494426 -4.4931 9.076e-06 ***
iis44 -2.321870 0.489652 -4.7419 2.901e-06 ***
iis116 -2.023549 0.510460 -3.9642 8.649e-05 ***
fesisAUS.2002 2.040156 0.550887 3.7034 0.0002410 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -1.184617 0.310368 -3.8168 0.0001554 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.768557 0.316260 5.5921 4.037e-08 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.494800 0.284137 -5.2608 2.286e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.1940 1 0.27452
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 3.0026 1 0.08313 .
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.46681
R-squared 0.91624
Log-lik.(n=475) -285.62293 0.01
Formula: ihs_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:06:23 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.354757 0.037810 9.3826 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.857576 0.232904 3.6821 0.0002620 ***
lpop -2.639937 1.009072 -2.6162 0.0092173 **
idAUT 1.013752 1.050052 0.9654 0.3348941
idBEL 0.270884 0.771179 0.3513 0.7255730
idBRA 5.184125 2.281692 2.2721 0.0235968 *
idCAN 2.497261 0.677813 3.6843 0.0002599 ***
idCHE -1.150816 1.031705 -1.1155 0.2653060
idCHN 10.044814 4.136626 2.4283 0.0155975 *
idDEU 6.006047 1.466765 4.0948 5.086e-05 ***
idDNK -1.080393 1.383254 -0.7811 0.4352197
idESP 4.212630 0.950720 4.4310 1.203e-05 ***
idFIN -1.606332 1.385746 -1.1592 0.2470516
idFRA 4.218175 1.240008 3.4017 0.0007349 ***
idGBR 4.830830 1.222543 3.9515 9.135e-05 ***
idIND 7.740300 4.000440 1.9349 0.0536897 .
idISR -1.171460 1.169658 -1.0015 0.3171523
idITA 3.922802 1.160617 3.3799 0.0007940 ***
idJPN 2.178491 2.059380 1.0578 0.2907476
idKOR -1.792599 1.674946 -1.0702 0.2851353
idNLD 1.558219 0.505670 3.0815 0.0021976 **
idNOR -3.458789 1.543666 -2.2406 0.0255808 *
idRUS 2.289543 2.013224 1.1373 0.2560923
idSGP -2.806311 1.578588 -1.7777 0.0761831 .
idSWE -2.104926 0.959876 -2.1929 0.0288705 *
idTWN 1.695642 0.478633 3.5427 0.0004413 ***
idUSA 7.850272 2.711834 2.8948 0.0039950 **
time2001 20.476901 16.611983 1.2327 0.2184044
time2002 20.675589 16.617927 1.2442 0.2141413
time2003 20.606438 16.625369 1.2395 0.2158800
time2004 20.779474 16.632352 1.2493 0.2122481
time2005 21.022367 16.637215 1.2636 0.2070954
time2006 21.340165 16.645832 1.2820 0.2005574
time2007 21.457806 16.649800 1.2888 0.1981986
time2008 21.668905 16.655752 1.3010 0.1939885
time2009 21.867783 16.662786 1.3124 0.1901233
time2010 21.775546 16.670788 1.3062 0.1922082
time2011 21.802650 16.677557 1.3073 0.1918365
time2012 21.674157 16.681583 1.2993 0.1945704
time2013 21.438957 16.688361 1.2847 0.1996294
time2014 21.476305 16.695198 1.2864 0.1990324
time2015 21.222185 16.701230 1.2707 0.2045522
time2016 21.464750 16.708804 1.2846 0.1996392
time2017 21.565167 16.715222 1.2902 0.1977200
time2018 21.333380 16.721236 1.2758 0.2027343
time2019 21.323523 16.726543 1.2748 0.2030856
iis21 -2.047044 0.447271 -4.5767 6.257e-06 ***
iis44 -2.412648 0.441900 -5.4597 8.247e-08 ***
iis72 1.593687 0.441732 3.6078 0.0003466 ***
iis116 -2.153493 0.464443 -4.6367 4.756e-06 ***
iis194 1.681321 0.443201 3.7936 0.0001707 ***
iis269 -2.046226 0.464756 -4.4028 1.363e-05 ***
iis382 1.235004 0.450296 2.7426 0.0063598 **
iis419 1.619475 0.444592 3.6426 0.0003042 ***
fesisAUS.2002 1.951664 0.497122 3.9259 0.0001012 ***
fesisAUS.2005 -1.183959 0.285916 -4.1409 4.196e-05 ***
fesisAUT.2002 -1.269042 0.444082 -2.8577 0.0044834 **
fesisIND.2008 0.953055 0.234807 4.0589 5.899e-05 ***
fesisSGP.2007 1.880340 0.298250 6.3046 7.431e-10 ***
fesisSGP.2012 -1.471674 0.261922 -5.6187 3.542e-08 ***
tisBEL.2019 -1.177493 0.444492 -2.6491 0.0083808 **
tisISR.2003 -0.066260 0.023226 -2.8529 0.0045506 **
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.77400 1 0.09581 .
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 0.97726 1 0.32287
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.42057
R-squared 0.93347
Log-lik.(n=475) -231.57435 Max Count Wind
0.001
Formula: max_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.001; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:08:08 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7103671 0.0207670 34.2065 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0447008 0.0126330 3.5384 0.0004483 ***
lpop -0.1106073 0.0477630 -2.3158 0.0210609 *
idAUT -0.0345802 0.0426170 -0.8114 0.4175933
idBEL -0.0158978 0.0320276 -0.4964 0.6198922
idBRA 0.2011919 0.1008694 1.9946 0.0467457 *
idCAN 0.0500077 0.0221440 2.2583 0.0244484 *
idCHE -0.0720781 0.0463547 -1.5549 0.1207298
idCHN 0.3561705 0.1834148 1.9419 0.0528306 .
idDEU 0.2487981 0.0644688 3.8592 0.0001320 ***
idDNK -0.1244848 0.0672751 -1.8504 0.0649723 .
idESP 0.1263114 0.0383314 3.2952 0.0010682 **
idFIN -0.0680142 0.0619642 -1.0976 0.2730023
idFRA 0.1194425 0.0511771 2.3339 0.0200795 *
idGBR 0.1494699 0.0507815 2.9434 0.0034295 **
idIND 0.2772477 0.1777208 1.5600 0.1195214
idISR -0.0974191 0.0491617 -1.9816 0.0481860 *
idITA 0.1143711 0.0477932 2.3930 0.0171552 *
idJPN -0.0010228 0.0860573 -0.0119 0.9905229
idKOR -0.1851076 0.0781127 -2.3698 0.0182588 *
idNLD 0.0198329 0.0159772 1.2413 0.2151912
idNOR -0.1903497 0.0756794 -2.5152 0.0122747 *
idRUS 0.0340648 0.0827091 0.4119 0.6806534
idSGP -0.0925099 0.0662192 -1.3970 0.1631565
idSWE -0.1325076 0.0469471 -2.8225 0.0049955 **
idTWN 0.0327422 0.0118843 2.7551 0.0061272 **
idUSA 0.2469020 0.1187198 2.0797 0.0381690 *
time2001 0.6112484 0.7306784 0.8365 0.4033298
time2002 0.6080008 0.7310062 0.8317 0.4060412
time2003 0.6104813 0.7312724 0.8348 0.4043013
time2004 0.6085996 0.7315922 0.8319 0.4059553
time2005 0.6105790 0.7319212 0.8342 0.4046426
time2006 0.6250797 0.7322785 0.8536 0.3938163
time2007 0.6229350 0.7327292 0.8502 0.3957302
time2008 0.6416174 0.7332113 0.8751 0.3820398
time2009 0.6440380 0.7336673 0.8778 0.3805443
time2010 0.6379506 0.7341176 0.8690 0.3853500
time2011 0.6333475 0.7345897 0.8622 0.3890896
time2012 0.6195472 0.7349293 0.8430 0.3997150
time2013 0.6104662 0.7351624 0.8304 0.4068022
time2014 0.6173707 0.7354519 0.8394 0.4017058
time2015 0.6145923 0.7357432 0.8353 0.4040120
time2016 0.6211871 0.7360627 0.8439 0.3991958
time2017 0.6204695 0.7363438 0.8426 0.3999200
time2018 0.6128303 0.7366260 0.8319 0.4059223
time2019 0.6122067 0.7368393 0.8309 0.4065356
iis152 -0.1679100 0.0497040 -3.3782 0.0007989 ***
iis162 0.1079950 0.0312750 3.4531 0.0006115 ***
iis463 0.2870424 0.0289950 9.8997 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.2298752 0.0290621 7.9098 2.384e-14 ***
iis465 0.3967552 0.0294694 13.4633 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 0.2188155 0.0311587 7.0226 9.014e-12 ***
iis469 0.2167505 0.0292206 7.4177 6.833e-13 ***
iis473 0.1981350 0.0289058 6.8545 2.616e-11 ***
fesisDEU.2010 0.4388627 0.0350399 12.5246 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2007 0.1802568 0.0192845 9.3472 < 2.2e-16 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -0.2226963 0.0258258 -8.6230 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2010 -0.1457109 0.0115010 -12.6694 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2014 0.2282843 0.0202406 11.2785 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDEU.2017 -0.0912447 0.0263335 -3.4650 0.0005858 ***
tisDNK.2013 0.0569890 0.0082993 6.8667 2.422e-11 ***
tisDNK.2017 -0.0899778 0.0175331 -5.1319 4.424e-07 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 2.3678 1 0.1239
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 21.8097 1 3.011e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.02727
R-squared 0.97792
Log-lik.(n=475) 1067.85788 0.01
Formula: max_count_wind~ lgdp + lpop
top_25 (2000:2019); p.value: 0.01; AR: 1
Date: Tue Mar 26 17:08:08 2024
Dependent var.: y
Method: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Variance-Covariance: Ordinary
No. of observations (mean eq.): 475
Sample: 1 to 475
SPECIFIC mean equation:
coef std.error t-stat p-value
ar1 0.7186416 0.0178295 40.3063 < 2.2e-16 ***
lgdp 0.0449869 0.0102886 4.3725 1.567e-05 ***
lpop -0.1141488 0.0395708 -2.8847 0.0041296 **
idAUT -0.0375287 0.0355144 -1.0567 0.2912760
idBEL -0.0179769 0.0266739 -0.6740 0.5007289
idBRA 0.2088119 0.0837245 2.4940 0.0130318 *
idCAN 0.0512947 0.0183039 2.8024 0.0053186 **
idCHE -0.0754162 0.0385515 -1.9562 0.0511302 .
idCHN 0.3688602 0.1525660 2.4177 0.0160636 *
idDEU 0.2017738 0.0542842 3.7170 0.0002303 ***
idDNK -0.1489924 0.0556366 -2.6780 0.0077118 **
idESP 0.1282504 0.0316298 4.0547 6.031e-05 ***
idFIN -0.0723622 0.0516442 -1.4012 0.1619375
idFRA 0.1228665 0.0424240 2.8962 0.0039845 **
idGBR 0.1522029 0.0420595 3.6188 0.0003339 ***
idIND 0.2902466 0.1479584 1.9617 0.0504916 .
idISR -0.1009863 0.0407994 -2.4752 0.0137289 *
idITA 0.1176517 0.0395775 2.9727 0.0031300 **
idJPN 0.0043435 0.0722479 0.0601 0.9520900
idKOR -0.1848206 0.0640839 -2.8840 0.0041377 **
idNLD 0.0188258 0.0132130 1.4248 0.1549964
idNOR -0.1958655 0.0625470 -3.1315 0.0018667 **
idRUS 0.0396622 0.0690167 0.5747 0.5658332
idSGP -0.0973995 0.0551316 -1.7667 0.0780438 .
idSWE -0.1357928 0.0386644 -3.5121 0.0004952 ***
idTWN 0.0329867 0.0096532 3.4172 0.0006974 ***
idUSA 0.2594629 0.0985490 2.6328 0.0087949 **
time2001 0.6655855 0.6096142 1.0918 0.2755703
time2002 0.6622917 0.6098859 1.0859 0.2781636
time2003 0.6647653 0.6101081 1.0896 0.2765499
time2004 0.6628572 0.6103754 1.0860 0.2781390
time2005 0.6636267 0.6106523 1.0868 0.2778000
time2006 0.6732972 0.6110016 1.1020 0.2711415
time2007 0.6729966 0.6113852 1.1008 0.2716556
time2008 0.6855495 0.6117811 1.1206 0.2631375
time2009 0.6955915 0.6121344 1.1363 0.2564938
time2010 0.6815558 0.6125124 1.1127 0.2664946
time2011 0.6847222 0.6128673 1.1172 0.2645590
time2012 0.6677150 0.6131703 1.0890 0.2768276
time2013 0.6628347 0.6133536 1.0807 0.2804921
time2014 0.6709478 0.6135812 1.0935 0.2748331
time2015 0.6674592 0.6138381 1.0874 0.2775336
time2016 0.6709492 0.6142298 1.0923 0.2753385
time2017 0.6784817 0.6144691 1.1042 0.2701792
time2018 0.6633443 0.6147176 1.0791 0.2811900
time2019 0.6696801 0.6148995 1.0891 0.2767688
iis141 0.0840744 0.0260990 3.2214 0.0013799 **
iis143 0.1152750 0.0424400 2.7162 0.0068896 **
iis146 -0.1222801 0.0316563 -3.8627 0.0001307 ***
iis149 0.1137417 0.0252007 4.5134 8.395e-06 ***
iis152 -0.2144111 0.0325933 -6.5784 1.488e-10 ***
iis159 0.1049426 0.0242702 4.3239 1.936e-05 ***
iis160 0.1345584 0.0247783 5.4305 9.760e-08 ***
iis162 0.1305968 0.0269355 4.8485 1.782e-06 ***
iis168 0.0971349 0.0262703 3.6975 0.0002480 ***
iis170 0.1680209 0.0268801 6.2508 1.046e-09 ***
iis314 0.1563226 0.0234231 6.6739 8.309e-11 ***
iis463 0.2827367 0.0239648 11.7980 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis464 0.2293884 0.0243087 9.4365 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis465 0.3873473 0.0247763 15.6338 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis466 0.2150438 0.0265062 8.1130 6.097e-15 ***
iis469 0.2829848 0.0319796 8.8489 < 2.2e-16 ***
iis473 0.2233887 0.0276554 8.0776 7.828e-15 ***
fesisDEU.2006 0.0900880 0.0166173 5.4213 1.024e-07 ***
fesisDEU.2010 0.2402707 0.0542484 4.4291 1.222e-05 ***
fesisDNK.2012 -0.2321052 0.0271454 -8.5505 2.612e-16 ***
fesisJPN.2016 -0.0508338 0.0131948 -3.8526 0.0001360 ***
fesisUSA.2013 -0.0758362 0.0249471 -3.0399 0.0025219 **
fesisUSA.2015 0.1016319 0.0279558 3.6354 0.0003136 ***
fesisUSA.2017 -0.0644831 0.0225873 -2.8548 0.0045294 **
tisDEU.2010 -0.0850507 0.0168048 -5.0611 6.363e-07 ***
tisDEU.2014 0.1141020 0.0218286 5.2272 2.775e-07 ***
tisDNK.2005 0.0301017 0.0031961 9.4184 < 2.2e-16 ***
tisDNK.2017 -0.0580817 0.0101850 -5.7027 2.292e-08 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
Diagnostics and fit:
Chi-sq df p-value
Ljung-Box AR(1) 1.6773 1 0.1953
Ljung-Box ARCH(1) 65.5792 1 5.551e-16 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
SE of regression 0.02210
R-squared 0.98593
Log-lik.(n=475) 1173.83619